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  1. #1
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    Semifinal Men's Pick: Aus Open Suicide Pool

    Welcome to the men's semifinals. The men's semifinals are spread out over two days (one Thursday and one Friday), but you only make one selection (otherwise, no one could beat the draw!). That selection will be made before the first semifinal. See the deadline in blue below.

    Make sure to check the Updated Picks/Results thread at http://www.talkabouttennis.com/forum...ead.php?t=9222 so you don't make a duplicate pick (you can only pick an individual player once). We've had several disqualified for making a double-pick, and it only gets easier to make this mistake.

    Picks are due no later than Thursday 1/24 3:00 p.m. Australian time, Wednesday, 11:00 p.m. USA Eastern Time. This thread will be closed promptly at the deadline.

    If you want to change your pick before the deadline, please make a second post in this thread advising us of your change.

    Semifinal choices are:

    FEDERER, Roger SUI [1] v DJOKOVIC, Novak SRB [3]
    TSONGA, Jo-Wilfried FRA v NADAL, Rafael ESP [2]

  2. #2
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    Re: Semifinal Men's Pick: Aus Open Suicide Pool

    Open early.

  3. #3

    Re: Semifinal Men's Pick: Aus Open Suicide Pool

    Well, maybe it pays to be early.

    In the unlikely event that Federer beats Blake today :-)

    Then my pick for SF will be :

    Novak (it's time for change) Djokovic

  4. #4

    Re: Semifinal Men's Pick: Aus Open Suicide Pool

    I only have one player available to me, so unfortunately, I have to go with him in the semi.

    R. Federer

  5. #5

    Re: Semifinal Men's Pick: Aus Open Suicide Pool

    Quote Originally Posted by Spencer View Post
    I only have one player available to me, so unfortunately, I have to go with him in the semi.

    R. Federer

    You got to like your chances on that one.. :-)

    While Djokovic has yet to drop a set, we did see a Choke-ovic in the last 20 minutes of his match.
    So I can only wonder what will happen if Djoko comes any close to beating Federer in the semis..

  6. #6

    Re: Semifinal Men's Pick: Aus Open Suicide Pool

    The real suspense...does Gibber take Tsonga or Fed today?

  7. #7
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    Re: Semifinal Men's Pick: Aus Open Suicide Pool

    Quote Originally Posted by zebra View Post
    You got to like your chances on that one.. :-)

    While Djokovic has yet to drop a set, we did see a Choke-ovic in the last 20 minutes of his match.
    So I can only wonder what will happen if Djoko comes any close to beating Federer in the semis..

    He'll close it out. He won't get relaxed the way he did against Ferrer. But I can't imagine Federer letting him get into that position this week


  8. #8

    Re: Semifinal Men's Pick: Aus Open Suicide Pool

    Quote Originally Posted by mmmm8 View Post
    He'll close it out. He won't get relaxed the way he did against Ferrer. But I can't imagine Federer letting him get into that position this week
    Yes, but how relaxed will Federer be?
    Djokovic did beat him once, and in their last 3 matches they have played no less than 5 tiebreakers (and Federer won 4 of them).
    Which kind of suggests that Federer does not hold a clear edge against him.
    And now Djokovic comes in well rested , having won all his matches in 3 sets, and with the "nothing to lose" advantage.
    Maybe even gathered some insider information from his countryman Tipsy...hmmm..

    I am curious, and not just because my money is on Djok for the SP..

  9. #9

    Re: Semifinal Men's Pick: Aus Open Suicide Pool

    federer

  10. #10

    Re: Semifinal Men's Pick: Aus Open Suicide Pool

    So Assuming Elliott takes Federer:

    - If Djoko wins, Zebra wins the Sp
    - If Fed and Tsonga win, Gibber wins the SP and can beat the draw if Tsonga wins the final
    - If Fed and Nadal win, Gibber, Spencer, and Elliott finish in a 3 way tie

  11. #11

    Re: Semifinal Men's Pick: Aus Open Suicide Pool

    FEDERER, Roger

  12. #12
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    Re: Semifinal Men's Pick: Aus Open Suicide Pool

    Quote Originally Posted by gibbermiata View Post
    federer

    Hey Gibber - great SP - congratulations. (I made it to the final 20 but lost with Cilic). Just curious - what's your reasoning behind taking Fed today? Again, congrats on a great run...

  13. #13
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    Re: Semifinal Men's Pick: Aus Open Suicide Pool

    Quote Originally Posted by zebra View Post
    Yes, but how relaxed will Federer be?
    Djokovic did beat him once, and in their last 3 matches they have played no less than 5 tiebreakers (and Federer won 4 of them).
    Which kind of suggests that Federer does not hold a clear edge against him.
    And now Djokovic comes in well rested , having won all his matches in 3 sets, and with the "nothing to lose" advantage.
    Maybe even gathered some insider information from his countryman Tipsy...hmmm..

    I am curious, and not just because my money is on Djok for the SP..

    I just think Federer is out for Nole's blood. And the fact that it was Novak's friend that almost took him out only helps. Yes, he'll feel pressure, but I think Federer is very aware of how to make his opponents feel MORE pressure.

    I do hope you're right, though, I'd love for Djokovic to win this.


  14. #14

    Question Re: Semifinal Men's Pick: Aus Open Suicide Pool

    My thought process is this; Fed is pretty sure to win, and Tsonga is pretty sure to lose. If Fed wins, I'm at worst tied for first. If Tsonga and Fed win, I'm last man standing. If I pick Tsonga and he loses, I'm just an also ran.

    But then again, my ability to ferret out the possible conclusions to this pool is pretty limited, so I could be wrong about all this.

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