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  1. #1

    ATP Predictions Rankings

    I mentioned before the season that it would be fun to have some year over year “Predictions Rankings.” I have been silently spreadsheet stalking, and now that we have enough tourneys in the books – it’s time for the first rankings!

    Here is some commentary on what I have implemented so far:

    -I am only doing ATP for now. One, because WTA rankings calculations seem more nebulous and because I wanted to try it first and fine tune it.
    -My count for rankings will mirror that of the ATP. That is the 4 Grand Slams, 8 Masters 1000, and then the best 6 of ATP 500 + ATP 250 events.
    -While rankings points are awarded based on what round the player gets to, for now I am just doing it based on the score. Said differently, a 10 point haul for the ATP event in Chennai is worth 10 points for rankings regardless of whether you finished 3rd or 30th amongst our group. (It saves me a step from having to calculate each week who finished 1st, 2nd, 3rd, etc. , even though that would be more accurate and a likely future improvement)
    -The rankings for winning a grand slam are 8x that of an ATP 250. An ATP 1000 is 4x that of a 250 and a ATP 500 is 2x of a 250. I am using the same multipliers for points totals. This means that the weekly output from the Grand Slam was halved initially because it gets doubled here.
    -9 tournaments have been contested so far this calendar year. The rankings below are comprised of the Australian Open + the best 6 of the 8 ATP 250’s completed so far.
    -I will do my best to upkeep…this week was a lot more manual as some of my compiling formulas did not work. If it gets later in the season when we are up to 30+ tourneys I may have to abandon…

    1 omess 224
    2 Drop-shot 220
    3 JazzNU 214
    4 ptmcmahon 205
    5 PeterSkan 201
    6 3mlm 198
    7 kanditoo 197
    8 BHar11 191
    9 Miles 183
    10 JTContinental 181
    11 dave g 179
    12 patrick 176
    13 texasniteowl 176
    14 Omegadoom 175
    15 tenedab 175
    16 mysterX 173
    17 munchin 172
    18 atlpam 170
    19 James7 170
    20 lukeorion 165
    21 Martini4me 164
    22 suliso 158
    23 FEBravo 153
    24 TennisAnyone74 153
    25 fastbackss 152
    26 dryrunguy 148
    27 the Moz 139
    28 skatingfan 113
    29 Jason11E 83
    30 shtexas 58
    31 Jeff in TX 27

    For comparison I have also listed the top 10 for just the ATP 250 tournaments and the top 10 in our actual rankings per the standard prediction challenge.

    ATP 250 ONLY ACTUAL RANKING
    1 suliso 102 1 ptmcmahon 146
    2 JTContinental 101 2 JTContinental 137
    3 Martini4me 100 3 PeterSkan 144
    4 dave g 99 4 tenedab 122
    5 atlpam 98 5 texasniteowl 134
    6 PeterSkan 97 6 JazzNU 139
    7 patrick 96 7 dave g 139
    8 texasniteowl 96 8 ptmcmahon 146
    9 Miles 95 9 patrick 130
    10 JazzNU 94 10 Omegadoom 128

    -Mike

  2. #2

    Re: ATP Predictions Rankings

    Cool stuff!
    I don't deny myself bread. I have bread every day.

  3. #3

    Re: ATP Predictions Rankings

    Hey, I'm not last.

  4. #4

    Re: ATP Predictions Rankings

    Quote Originally Posted by skatingfan View Post
    Hey, I'm not last.
    There were 5 people of the 31 (which includes yourself) who have less than the minimum 6 scores to be counted on the ATP 250 side , so you are all but guaranteed to pass me, er other players, this week if you get your picks in.

    Interestingly 3 of those mentioned 5 did not get picks in for the Australian Open either.

  5. #5

    Re: ATP Predictions Rankings

    Where's my medal?
    Meet again we do, old foe...

  6. #6

    Re: ATP Predictions Rankings

    Quote Originally Posted by Drop-shot View Post
    Where's my medal?
    Probably hard to find it at the bottom of the pile you already have.

  7. #7

    Re: ATP Predictions Rankings

    Quote Originally Posted by skatingfan View Post
    Probably hard to find it at the bottom of the pile you already have.
    The last ones are the ones that show up, *harumph*
    Meet again we do, old foe...

  8. #8
    Slightly Less of a Loser
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    ptmcmahon's Avatar
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    Re: ATP Predictions Rankings

    A Canadian #4...how appropriate

    I also like that I'm listed twice in the actual rankings...I'm doing that good this year!

  9. #9

    Re: ATP Predictions Rankings

    Interesting alternate look at the data. Thanks.
    TIHBS TIHBW

    Avatar --> Politician 1: Philosopher King

  10. #10

    Re: ATP Predictions Rankings

    How do I get 174?
    30 Slam titles in singles and 14 Slam titles in doubles.

  11. #11

    Re: ATP Predictions Rankings

    Quote Originally Posted by patrick View Post
    How do I get 174?
    Australian Open - you scored 20. Divide that by 2, multiply by 8 (80)
    ATP 250, in 8 tournaments so far you scored 15 12 19 6 8 9 21 20. Drop the 8 and the 6 (Sydney and Auckland) and that totals 96

    Sum total is 80 + 96 for 176

  12. #12

    Re: ATP Predictions Rankings

    After looking at the number of tournaments I have tweaked the "TAT rankings" ever so slightly. It will be comprised of all 4 majors (8x multiplier), ATP world finals, all ATP 1000 (4x multiplier), best 6 ATP 500 (2x multiplier), best 6 ATP 250. As we go into our first M1000, here are the new rankings. (This is 8x the Australian Open + 2x the 4 ATP 500 tournaments + best 6 of 12 ATP 250)
    AS OF 3/5
    1 JazzNU 343
    2 omess 340
    3 PeterSkan 333
    4 James7 325
    5 BHar11 320
    6 Drop-shot 315
    7 ptmcmahon 310
    8 Martini4me 299
    9 atlpam 297
    10 texasniteowl 294
    11 mysterX 290
    12 TennisAnyone74 289
    13 suliso 286
    14 JTContinental 279
    15 Miles 278
    16 Omegadoom 275
    17 tenedab 271
    18 kanditoo 270
    19 lukeorion 270
    20 fastbackss 265
    21 patrick 264
    22 FEBravo 250
    23 dryrunguy 249
    24 dave g 246
    25 skatingfan 240
    26 the Moz 213
    27 3mlm 198
    28 munchin 172
    29 Jeff in TX 163
    30 Jason11E 124
    31 shtexas 58

    Actual top 10:

    1 PeterSkan 268
    2 JazzNU 267
    3 Martini4me 262
    4 ptmcmahon 258
    5 James7 250
    6 Miles 249
    7 BHar11 248
    8 TennisAnyone74 247
    9 texasniteowl 246
    10 suliso 243

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