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dryrunguy
01-18-2015, 12:57 PM
Below are some thoughts about today's Day 1 women's picks that should be taken worth a grain of salt. :) Here's how the Day 1 women's picks break down. We start with 298 players:


Alison Riske (64) -- On paper, this looks like a solid pick. Unless you fall into the "never pick against a wildcard" camp. But chances are that we'll see all of you again tomorrow. Be wary of the dreaded No Pick, though. :rockon:


Carla Suarez Navarro (45) -- This was my choice for today. That fact alone should have all of you shaking in your boots. Be afraid. Be very, very afraid. :oops:


Shuai Peng (25) -- Peng comes in with not much form under her belt. And she's playing a qualifier. And then there's that whole "never pick for or against a Chinese woman" thing... :tisk:


Monica Puig (19) -- Puig ended 2014 on a solid note, and she's also playing a wildcard. Good choice. Plus, it's now or never for her unless something surprising happens. (See Lucie Safarova) :thumbsup:


Sara Errani (19) -- This should be a safe pick. I don't see Grace being able to blow her off the court. :yes:


Sorana Cirstea (17) -- Great draw positioning, but she's playing a qualifier. And we're talking Sorana here... Let's hope no one in the lower seats gets hurt. :tease:


Klara Koukalova (15) -- Excellent choice. Her opponent is ranked #454. :overhead_clap:


Karolina Pliskova (12) -- It's a good thing her sister isn't in the draw because this would have a Bondarenko-type scenario written all over it. Rodina won their only meeting, but that was a LONG time ago. :beer:


Ekaterina Makarova (10) -- You'll advance, but you very well may regret this later. :wall:


Sabine Lisicki (9) -- Buh-buh-buh-buh-buh-brave... Brave to the bone... Ba-da-ba-ba! :fencing:


Elena Vesnina (8) -- You all have obviously never taken Elena in a suicide pool before. :yikey: Nah, you'll probably be okay.


Jarmila Gajdosova (7) -- This ought to work, the draw positioning certainly works, and the crowd will be behind her. I just never know what to make of Dulgheru. And that may not even be an issue in this case. :woot:


Christina McHale (7) -- She's playing a veteran qualifier. I don't know. :undecided:


Palona Hercog (7) -- Warning: You're picking against a Chinese woman, but you'll probably get away with it. Just this once. :kiss:


Bethanie Mattek-Sands (5) -- I reserve judgment until I see the socks. :gorgeous:


Zarina Diyas (4) -- Also playing a qualifier (Radwanska the Lesser), but one thing you know about Zarina--she'll fight to the bloody end. :cool:


Svetlana Kuznetsova (4) -- Is there any chance you watched the video with the dogs as ballkids once or twice too often? Good luck! :woohoo:


Belinda Bencic (3) -- Very talented and lots of hype, but Goerges is extremely capable. :confused:


Lucie Safarova (3) -- Shvedova is super talented but also super inconsistent. We used to say the same thing about Lucie. Too early? Too risky? :nailbiter:


Roberta Vinci (2) -- http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NjUQMs0kVEI (and see Bojana Jovanovski). :eek:


Ana Konjuh (2) -- See Magdalena Rybarikova. I'm so sorry. :cry:


Pauline Parmentier (1) -- No. Just, no. Now watch her win 1 and 1. :shocked:


Eugenie Bouchard (1) -- Too early! Then again, her name popped up in another thread as a candidate to be among the first seeds to lose. I doubt it. But it's still too early. Expect an onslaught of Canadian hate mail. :bat:


Bojana Jovanovski (1) -- http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NjUQMs0kVEI (and see Roberta Vinci). :eek:


Chanelle Scheepers (1) -- Someone disagrees with you. http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NjUQMs0kVEI. See Anna Schmiedlova. :eek:


Anna Schmiedlova (1) -- Someone disagrees with you. http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NjUQMs0kVEI. See Chanelle Scheepers. :eek:


Ana Ivanovic (1) -- What did poor Ana do to you? Methinks this is way too early. :flamed:


Magdalena Rybarikova (1) -- Konjuh is on my AMiTS team, so you're probably safe. :mad:


Kiki Bertens (1) -- This ought to work, right? Bertens lost to Gavrilova once, but that was back in 2009. We'll see. :p


Daria Gavrilova (1)-- You saw the head-to-head. :)


Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova (1) -- Is this a pick FOR Patio Furniture or against Wickmayer? :freekingout:


Angelique Kerber (1) -- I have no response to this. Can't argue for it, can't argue against it. What does that mean? :bath:


*****

Good luck, everyone!

dryrunguy
01-18-2015, 04:27 PM
Day 1 women's picks in previous post. P&R posts to come later this evening.

MediaGrrl
01-18-2015, 05:00 PM
great stuff, DryRunGuy. And not just cause you called my pick (Puig) good.

dryrunguy
01-18-2015, 05:03 PM
161stAndChilla: Riske
3mlm: Hercog - Kanepi
abhilash: Peng - Svitolina - Pliskova - Cornet - Begu - Venus Williams - Makarova - Azarenka
adicecream: Riske
aedra1119: Suarez Navarro
aggierules: Lisicki
ajay.gov: Errani -Cornet - Pliskova - Zahlavova Strycova - Makarova - Muguruza - Bouchard - Keys
alias47: Errani - Zahlavova Strycova - Pliskova - Svitolina - Goerges - Venus Williams - Makarova - Keys
alvinlimtc: Gajdosova - Jie Zheng
amalhotra2: Parmentier
amb617: Riske
andre8735: Kuznetsova
Andrew388: Errani - Kanepi
Angel of the Surf: Suarez Navarro
Anne Roy Leape: Riske
AnotherGameForMilos!: Peng - Zvonareva - Diyas - Lepchenko - Errani
appledeuce: Puig - No Pick
apreich: Errani - No Pick
aroque: Peng - Stosur - Pliskova - Cornet - Begu - Vandeweghe
atlpam: Peng - Zahlavova Strycova - Wickmayer - Bacsinszky - Hradecka
Auburn84: Peng - Date Krumm
Bandar: Riske
BankerB4: Kerber
barbarapotterfan: Suarez Navarro
beaujarkko: McHale - No Pick
beths: Cirstea
BHar11: Vinci - Zvonareva - Mattek Sands - Chang
Big Cat: Errani - Petkovic
billytall: Errani - Pennetta
Bismarck: Peng - Stosur - Errani - Bacsinszky - Goreges - Vandeweghe
blaker414: Suarez Navarro
blomgren: McHale - Svitolina - Pliskova - Bacsinszky - Goerges - Muguruza - Makarova - Keys
Blue moon: Vesnina
bluereggie: Cirstea
Bmoney3: Suarez Navarro
borenore2: Peng - Svitolina - Pliskova - Dellacqua
BouchardBoiledEggs: Cirstea
bridgepea: Suarez Navarro
cader: Vesnina
Cainim: Riske
calvin_hobbes29: Suarez Navarro
camante: Suarez Navarro
CanuckRaonic: Riske
Capitals32: Lisicki
Casperpod: Mattek Sands - Lepchenko - Diyas - Zahlavova Strycova - Begu - Muguruza - Bouchard - Keys
CatMan: Koukalova - Keys - Pliskova - Svitolina - Peng - Muguruza - Bouchard - Azarenka
cdavid99: Bencic
chaitu341: Riske
Charlie02123: Koukalova - Zvonareva - Diyas - Svitolina - Goerges - Muguruza - Bouchard - Azarenka
charlie53: Riske

dryrunguy
01-18-2015, 05:06 PM
Chillo: Riske
Chris Robinson: Riske
christinestiara: Errani - Lepchenko - Peng - Giorgi - Goerges - Vandeweghe
ckelsall22: Vesnina
Codge: Pavlyuchenkova
ColinUWS: Riske
csgnyc: Riske
CyborgShoes: Pliskova - Dellacqua - Diyas - Bacsinszky - Errani
dave g: Suarez Navarro
DdVogt: Peng - Dellacqua - Pliskova - Stosur
deb10s: Suarez Navarro
deelighted2: Diyas - Dellacqua - Pliskova - Zahlavova Strycova - Goerges - Muguruza - Makarova - Keys
dollymix: Bouchard - Hantuchova - Errani - Svitolina - Goerges - Vandeweghe
dolphins 343: Pliskova - Dellacqua - Errani - Zahlavova Strycova - Goerges - Vandeweghe
dougforte: Riske
dowser55: Riske
doylerd: Pliskova - Svitolina - Errani - Cornet - Peng - Azarenka - Bouchard - Keys
Drop-shot: Suarez Navarro
dryrunguy: Suarez Navarro
DU Pioneers: Pliskova - Zvonareva - Errani - Zahlavova Strycova - Begu - Venus Williams - Bouchard - Azarenka
duckylynt: Riske
e11even: Koukalova - Lepchenko - Mladenovic
Earth-dragon: Suarez Navarro
Edmond Dantes: Puig - Cornet - Diyas - Svitolina - Peng - Vandeweghe
Elchie : Riske
Equipped: Mattek-Sands - Dellacqua - Errani - Svitolina - Begu - Vandeweghe
ernie_pantusso: Riske
eskimo_53: Riske
evil_juju: Riske
fastbackss: Makarova - Zvonareva - Pliskova - Svitolina - Halep - Radwanska - Bouchard - Keys
fatboy: Suarez Navarro
FEBravo: Riske
Federer70: Riske
Federex: Makarova - Dellacqua - Pliskova - Zahlavova Strycova - Errani
FedFan101: Suarez Navarro
fedmaster17: Suarez Navarro
Fiercehart: Riske
flowerchild39: Pliskova - Zahlavova Strycova - Garcia - Cornet - Errani
flyingswan: Makarova - Zahlavova Strycova - Errani - Cornet - Peng - Muguruza - Halep - Azarenka
frost: Riske
funkstar: Bertens - Lepchenko - Pliskova - Errani
gacritter: Riske
GernBlandston: Puig - No Pick
gff0: Vesnina
gibbermiata: Errani - No Pick
gimpyknee2004: Cirstea
glarange: Pliskova - Kanepi
GlennHarman: Pliskova - Wozniacki - Errani - Svitolina - Peng - Venus Williams - Bouchard - Keys
gracie: Pliskova - Svitolina - Garcia - Zahlavova Strycova - Wittoeft
GreenGourd: Suarez Navarro

dryrunguy
01-18-2015, 05:09 PM
greenhopper: Puig - Zvonareva - Siniakova
Guillermo Grayclay: Errani - Dellacqua - Pliskova - Zahlavova Strycova - Peng - Serena Williams - Makarova - Azarenka
gunner: Koukalova - Jie Zheng
hawkgirl: Jovanovski
Herodotus: Koukalova - Keys - Pliskova - Svitolina - Begu - Vandeweghe
hotchocolate: Lisicki
Hummingbird: Puig - Zvonareva - Diyas - Cornet - Peng - Muguruza - Makarova - Keys
illiniwez85: Safarova
improbabledream: McHale - Hantuchova - Pliskova - Lepchenko - Errani
inkblot1983: Hercog - Kanepi
Irena2: Riske
IronMike: Suarez Navarro
jadesa: Suarez Navarro
jaimetennis: Makarova - Stosur - Errani - Cornet - Peng - Muguruza - Halep - Cibulkova
James7: Hercog - Svitolina - McHale
Jason11E: Gajdosova - Dellacqua - Mladenovic
JazzNU: Riske
jazzyg: Riske
Jbeecher6: Kuznetsova
JBS-50: Vesnina
JCR14: Suarez Navarro
jdognyy: Peng - Invalid Pick
Jeff in TX: Scheepers
jenninlaca: Riske
jlakei: Mattek-Sands - Kanepi
jlhct: Hercog - Kanepi
jmcguire: Errani - Jankovic
jmhohnj: Vesnina
JoeCle: Cirstea
joshman_can: Riske
JTContinental: Riske
jumpfroggy: Riske
Jusbjen: Errani - Muguruza - McHale
Justme: Koukalova - Zahlavova Strycova - Peng - Cornet - Goerges - Muguruza - Bouchard - Keys
jwcardinal11: Koukalova - Zvonareva - Hradecka - Lepchenko - No Pick
kat804: Peng - Lepchenko - Pliskova - Zahlavova Strycova - Errani
kcgregg: Gajdosova - Zahlavova Strycova - Diyas - Brengle - Peng - Muguruza - Bouchard - Cibulkova
Khethux: Suarez Navarro
kirby077: Diyas - Stosur - Pliskova - Zahlavova Strycova - Errani
kkannan03: Puig - Dellacqua -Pliskova - Zahlavova Strycova - Goerges - Muguruza - Bouchard - Keys
kknudsen: Cirstea
kmf71683: Riske
KMills912: Puig - Dellacqua - Pliskova - Zahlavova Strycova - Peng - Venus Williams - Makarova - Keys
korjik: Vesnina
krishna: Konjuh
ktothem1: Riske
kzt123: Cirstea
laurjo: Suarez Navarro
lbk77: Suarez Navarro
leaker: Cirstea

dryrunguy
01-18-2015, 05:12 PM
led14pa2: Pliskova - Cornet - Errani - Lepchenko - Bouchard - Radwanska - Makarova - Azarenka
leemur: Riske
Lemnos2: Puig - Svitolina - Pliskova - Bacsinszky - Goerges - Radwanska - Makarova - Azarenka
leopoldberlin: Koukalova - Svitolina - Pliskova - Muguruza - Wittoeft
Leslie: Suarez Navarro
Lizling: Riske
lknobel: Safarova
lokoryan: Suarez Navarro
luckyloser: Riske
lukeorion: Riske
luvs10s: Lisicki
Lynn: Riske
Madame: Peng - Kanepi
Manila Smash: Suarez Navarro
Marathongirl: Lisicki
MarkB24: McHale - Lepchenko - Makarova - Svitolina - Begu - Vandeweghe
marsny: Riske
Martini4me: Puig - Keys - Diyas - Svitolina - Bouchard - Muguruza - Makarova - Serena Williams
Matori: Schmiedlova - Lepchenko - Errani - Svitolina - Wittoeft
matt2370: Mattek-Sands - Kanepi
MayorGhouliani: Hercog - Lepchenko - Pliskova - Bacsinszky - Begu - Vandeweghe
mcbride10s: Riske
MediaGrrl: Puig - Jie Zheng
MeganFernandez: Lisicki
michaels123456: Riske
michelle78: Riske
mikeprice4: Gajdosova - Vandeweghe - Goerges - Zahlavova Strycova - Errani
miketest: Peng - Zvonareva - Diyas - Lepchenko - Errani
Miles: Suarez Navarro
milos#1: Riske
mmmm8: Peng - Lepchenko - Pliskova - Cornet - Goerges - Muguruza - Bouchard - Keys
mocam57: Peng - Azarenka - Pliskova - Stosur
Monsieur LeTennis: Cirstea
moonball64: Peng - Svitolina - Pliskova - Zahlavova Strycova - Errani
Moose: Diyas - Keys - Garcia - Zahlavova Strycova - Goerges - Vandeweghe
morct: Cirstea
motobass: Suarez Navarro
mr_socko: Puig - Lepchenko - Pliskova - Zahlavova Strycova - No Pick
mu_royals: Makarova - Svitolina - Pliskova - Zahlavova Strycova - Errani
munchin: Makarova - Svitolina - Errani - Cornet - Peng - Azarenka - Bouchard - Keys
musababid: Cirstea
mwoods: Riske
mxxxm: Errani - Svitolina - Pliskova - Duplicate Pick
mysterX: Koukalova - No Pick
nad55: Gavrilova
NasdaqBallboy: Puig - Zahlavova Strycova - Errani - Bacsinszky - Peng - Vandeweghe
Naughty T: Suarez Navarro
naughtyboiosu: Gajdosova - Dellacqua - Pliskova - Zahlavova Strycova - Makarova - Azarenka - Bouchard - Keys
nblaquie: Suarez Navarro
nelslus: Riske

dryrunguy
01-18-2015, 05:14 PM
Net_Raider: Suarez Navarro
New England Nitemare: Makarova - Cornet - Pliskova - Zahlavova Strycova - Goerges - Vandeweghe
nigel: Makarova - Kanepi
noedee: Riske
nycguy2662: McHale - Jie Zheng
nyjaney: McHale - Keys - Peng - Lepchenko - Makarova - Vandeweghe
NYJJared: Riske
oliver0001: Koukalova - Dellacqua - Mattek Sands - No Pick
Omegadoom: Suarez Navarro
omess: Puig - No Pick
orangeboy19: Riske
patmanmo: Koukalova - Zahlavova Strycova - Pliskova - Svitolina - Peng - Azarenka - Makarova - Keys
patrick: Suarez Navarro
Pattyfan: Errani - Lepchenko - Peng - Svitolina - Makarova - Vandeweghe
pbutler50: Cirstea
peppercornstuff: Lisicki
PeteFan: Suarez Navarro
PeterSkan: Pliskova - Zvonareva - Garcia - Svitolina - Errani
phatsdawg: Cirstea
pingponger: Riske
ponchi101: Peng - Svitolina - Diyas - Dellacqua
pressedham: Peng - Svitolina - Pliskova - Zahlavova Strycova - Goerges - Vandeweghe
prince49: Suarez Navarro
ptmcmahon: Suarez Navarro
pudding: Pliskova - Dellacqua - Peng - Venus Williams - Errani
rainylana: Makarova - Jankovic
rashmi: Riske
redclay: Peng - Zahlavova Strycova - Errani - Svitolina - Hradecka
RedWard: Vesnina
Ribbons: Hercog - Dellacqua - Peng - Lepchenko - Begu - Venus Williams - Makarova - Keys
rickym63: Riske
riley371: Riske
rip8aces: Peng - Lepchenko - Pliskova - Zahlavova Strycova - Makarova - Muguruza - Bouchard - Azarenka
rj7dogz: Peng - Jie Zheng
rktct2b: Errani - Zahlavova Strycova - Pliskova - Svitolina - Makarova - Venus Williams - Bouchard - Keys
rph506: Errani - Dellacqua - Pliskova - Cornet - Goerges - Muguruza - Bouchard - Keys
Ruyiman: Suarez Navarro
Sam Kallevig: Riske
sblanc: Bencic
scineram: Mattek-Sands - Kanepi
Scott: Diyas - Svitolina - Hercog
Scotty: Suarez Navarro
shmrck14: Lisicki
shtexas: Suarez Navarro
sjokolade: Safarova
skatingfan: Riske
slamdog: Pliskova - Venus Williams - Peng - Zahlavova Strycova - Errani
sluggo-13: Gajdosova - Allertova - Garcia - Bacsinszky - Goerges - Vandeweghe
Snoo Foo: Puig - Svitolina - Pliskova - Zahlavova Strycova - Errani
sokoll: Peng - Venus Williams - Errani - Zahlavova Strycova - Begu - Radwanska - Bouchard - Azarenka

dryrunguy
01-18-2015, 05:17 PM
soujtennis: Makarova - Lepchenko - Peng - Svitolina - Goerges - Muguruza - Bouchard - Keys
SoulCandy93: Riske
SpecialK: Suarez Navarro
Spencer: Gajdosova - Tomljanovic - Garcia - Bacsinszky - Wittoeft
spounder: Koukalova - Kanepi
St. Jimmy: Bencic
stevetraceycpa: Riske
stracciatella: Errani - Svitolina - Peng - Zahlavova Strycova - Begu - Muguruza - Makarova - Keys
suliso: Puig - Zahlavova Strycova - Makarova - Svitolina - Goerges - Vandeweghe
SW195AE: Puig - Svitolina - Pliskova - Zahlavova Strycova - Makarova - Muguruza - Bouchard - Keys
SwissBliss: Cirstea
Synth: Suarez Navarro
t0atiam: Peng -Keys - Invalid Pick (Peng)
Takao: Riske
tangerine: Suarez Navarro
Teamft: Riske
tenedab: Suarez Navarro
TennisAnyone74: Kuznetsova
tennisbrp: Cirstea
Tenor7: Suarez Navarro
the fish: Konjuh
the_shirtless_putins: Vinci - No Pick
thekaoboy: Koukalova - Kanepi
Theresa: Cirstea
Tigress: Errani - Stosur - Peng - Radwanska - Goerges - Muguruza - Makarova - Azarenka
TiriS: Hercog - Zvonareva - Pliskova - Svitolina - Begu - Radwanska - Bouchard - Keys
tobiasfunke: Suarez Navarro
Togtdyalttai: Riske
tolulops: Errani - Cornet -Mladenovic
ttlmmky: Lisicki
ubermitch: Puig - Dellacqua - Pliskova - Svitolina - Goerges - Muguruza - Bouchard - Keys
udaneri: Ivanovic
uibristol: Peng - Zahlavova Strycova - Pliskova - Svitolina - Goerges - Vandeweghe
varactor: Rybarikova - Muguruza - Begu - Cornet - Peng - Serena Williams - Sharapova - Keys
venuslove: Errani - Svitolina - Peng - Cornet - Goerges - Vandeweghe
Verbalvolleys: McHale - Hantuchova - Wickmayer - Bacsinszky - No Pick
vexchaps: Koukalova - Larsson - Errani - Svitolina - Goerges - Muguruza - Makarova - Keys
Vuhruhto: Puig - No Pick
waylandboy-tw: Puig - Allertova - Pliskova - Zahlavova Strycova - Goerges - Venus Williams - Makarova - Keys
weefunk: Peng - Svitolina - Diyas - Zahlavova Strycova - Goerges - Muguruza - Makarova - Keys
wfwalsh: Kuznetsova
winston: Peng - Zahlavova Strycova - Pliskova - Svitolina - Makarova - Kvitova
wjbeauch: Riske
Wolfie0890: Riske
Woody: Cirstea
Woznowuss: Koukalova - Azarenka - Diyas - Bacsinszky - Peng - Vandeweghe
youngkaren: Riske
zephyrstorm03: Riske

dryrunguy
01-18-2015, 05:19 PM
great stuff, DryRunGuy. And not just cause you called my pick (Puig) good.

Ah, thanks! But be careful... I'm terrible at this game, so it may turn out to be a curse. :)

dryrunguy
01-18-2015, 05:54 PM
25 Pengs and 7 Gajdosovas are safely through to Day 2!

EDIT: And so are 15 Koukalovas...

billytall
01-18-2015, 07:40 PM
ivanaOOPS!

dryrunguy
01-18-2015, 07:59 PM
We started with 298. So far (EDITED):

TOTAL: 298
- 9 Lisicki
- 4 Kuznetsova
- 3 Bencic
- 2 Konjuh
- 1 Ivanovic :eek:
- 1 Scheepers
- 1 Parmentier

REMAINING ON DAY 1: 277

Stay tuned.

dryrunguy
01-18-2015, 08:22 PM
12 Pliskovas and 1 Schmiedlova are safely through.

Bmoney3
01-18-2015, 09:34 PM
The detailed post about everyone's pick is pretty awesome!

Chillo
01-18-2015, 09:52 PM
Can't believe I thought Riske was a safe choice....:p

dryrunguy
01-18-2015, 10:04 PM
We started with 298. So far (EDITED):

TOTAL: 298
- 9 Lisicki
- 4 Kuznetsova
- 3 Bencic
- 2 Konjuh
- 1 Ivanovic :eek:
- 1 Scheepers
- 1 Parmentier

REMAINING ON DAY 1: 277

Stay tuned.

TOTAL: 298
-64 Riske
-17 Cirstea
- 9 Lisicki
- 8 Vesnina
- 4 Kuznetsova
- 3 Safarova
- 3 Bencic
- 2 Konjuh
- 1 Ivanovic :eek:
- 1 Scheepers
- 1 Parmentier
- 1 Pavlyuchekova
- 1 Kerber
- 1 Jovanovski

REMAINING ON DAY 1: 182


Stay tuned.

dryrunguy
01-18-2015, 10:41 PM
Yup. 1/3 of the women's players are gone. Yowza.

Madame
01-18-2015, 11:13 PM
Below are some thoughts about today's Day 1 women's picks that should be taken worth a grain of salt. :) Here's how the Day 1 women's picks break down. We start with 298 players:

Alison Riske (64) -- On paper, this looks like a solid pick. Unless you fall into the "never pick against a wildcard" camp. But chances are that we'll see all of you again tomorrow. Be wary of the dreaded No Pick, though. :rockon:

Good luck, everyone!

;) love it. You guys forgot the "do not bet against a little frenchie at Aussie Open !!!"
Way to go girls :banana::rockon::yahoo:

dryrunguy
01-18-2015, 11:21 PM
;) love it. You guys forgot the "do not bet against a little frenchie at Aussie Open !!!"
Way to go girls :banana::rockon::yahoo:

You are so right, Madame. And Caroline, too!

Meanwhile, 19 Erranis are safely into the Day 2 fold as well.

Chillo
01-19-2015, 01:18 AM
More blood letting is imminent, unless CSN has a spare get out of jail in the kit bag

noedee
01-19-2015, 01:20 AM
can't believe I hesitated between Riske and McHale, who puked in her 3rd set yet managed to make it through!!

Oh well....

dryrunguy
01-19-2015, 01:22 AM
TOTAL: 298
-64 Riske
-17 Cirstea
- 9 Lisicki
- 8 Vesnina
- 4 Kuznetsova
- 3 Safarova
- 3 Bencic
- 2 Konjuh
- 1 Ivanovic :eek:
- 1 Scheepers
- 1 Parmentier
- 1 Pavlyuchekova
- 1 Kerber
- 1 Jovanovski

REMAINING ON DAY 1: 182


Stay tuned.

TOTAL: 298
-64 Riske
-45 Suarez Navarro
-17 Cirstea
- 9 Lisicki
- 8 Vesnina
- 4 Kuznetsova
- 3 Safarova
- 3 Bencic
- 2 Konjuh
- 1 Ivanovic
- 1 Scheepers
- 1 Parmentier
- 1 Pavlyuchekova
- 1 Kerber
- 1 Jovanovski
- 1 Gavrilova

REMAINING ON DAY 1: 136

Less than 50% of the pool left.


Stay tuned.

ponchi101
01-19-2015, 05:50 AM
We have to make new rules. When we can't even make it through the first round, we know this is insane.
Handicap the field? You are allowed to pick a top player twice?
And the first round is not even over... :shocked:

dave g
01-19-2015, 06:15 AM
Dry,

You seem to be forgetting this guy :axe:
I think he deserves an appearance after a day like this one.

suliso
01-19-2015, 06:16 AM
We all take a lot of risks in the first 2-3 days. This time I was lucky...

Moose
01-19-2015, 06:20 AM
Dry,

You seem to be forgetting this guy :axe:
I think he deserves an appearance after a day like this one.

+1.

And great job managing Day 1, Dry.

GlennHarman
01-19-2015, 06:48 AM
Just looked at this thread for the first time. 136 left after DAY ONE!?!? This is insane. Good luck to the survivors among us. G

dollymix
01-19-2015, 08:01 AM
I feel a lot better about my choice of Bouchard now!

Drop-shot
01-19-2015, 10:31 AM
I can't believe CSN lost like that to someone I've never heard of.

suliso
01-19-2015, 11:06 AM
I can't believe CSN lost like that to someone I've never heard of.

From all the loses of lower seeds today this one was the most surprising to me...

Chris Robinson
01-19-2015, 11:46 AM
ouch

dryrunguy
01-19-2015, 12:44 PM
I'm missing 36 players. I know you're scared. And you should be. But I don't want No Pick to be today's big bandwagon. I want drrrrrrrrrrama!

suliso
01-19-2015, 12:49 PM
Those 36 are seeking drama too by posting 5 min before the deadline :cheesy:

dryrunguy
01-19-2015, 12:51 PM
Those 36 are seeking drama too by posting 5 min before the deadline :cheesy:

Well, hopefully today's Monday Kiva Mob Loan (which starts in just over an hour) will be fully funded by then so I can focus on recording last-second picks. :)

dryrunguy
01-19-2015, 05:07 PM
Not enough time for analysis today, which is a real shame because I have all sorts of useless thoughts about some of the picks. But here's the breakdown for today...

We started with 136.

Subtract 9 No Picks (the 7th most popular pick for the day).

Subtrack 1 Invalid Pick (when there are two Zhengs in the draw, you have to specify as noted in today's thread).

That leaves us with 126 going forward.

Today's valid picks are:

Svitolina (20)
Dellacqua (16)
Zahlavova Strycova (13)
Lepchenko (13)
Kanepi (12)
Zvonareva (11)
Keys (6)
Cornet (5)
Jie Zheng (5)
Stosur (5)
Hantuchova (3)
Azarenka (2)
Venus Williams (2)
Allertova (2)
Muguruza (2)
Jankovic (2)
Petkovic (1)
Date-Krumm (1)
Pennetta (1)
Wozniacki (1)
Vandeweghe (1)
Tomljanovic (1)
Larsson (1)

Good luck to our 126 remaining players!

dryrunguy
01-19-2015, 05:35 PM
A good day so far for the pool... 5 Stosurs, 2 Azarenkas, 2 Allertovas, and 2 Muguruzas safely through to day 3.

Things don't look good, however, for our 5 Jie Zhengs... We're already chopping ice in the Loser's Lounge.

dryrunguy
01-19-2015, 05:50 PM
13 Zahlavova Strycovas and 3 Hantuchovas are also safely through. We did lose five Jie Zhengs, though.

STARTED WITH 126
- Jie Zheng (5)

NEW TOTAL: 121

ptmcmahon
01-19-2015, 06:39 PM
Suicide Pool Rule - if you make your next day pick (like I did with BZS) before you current day player starts and loses (like CSN) - your next day pick will cruise to an easy win early in the day.

MediaGrrl
01-19-2015, 06:39 PM
really sure that the Zheng that didn't let me down on flipping Day 2 is the one I picked. In my head. Grrrr!

dryrunguy
01-19-2015, 10:13 PM
The two largest bandwagons for the women's pool today (Svitolina and Dellacqua) are safely through. But we've lost 18 more so far today due to Jie Zheng, Kanepi, and Petkovic. So we're down to 108 at the moment.

ponchi101
01-20-2015, 06:43 AM
New rule: You can use Serena TWICE in every SP. Otherwise, this is a slaughterhouse at full capacity...
(Just hoping somebody will beat the draw, that's all)

dryrunguy
01-20-2015, 08:34 AM
EDIT: ERROR CORRECTED

Compared to Monday, the women's pool experienced minimal carnage as a result of Tuesday's matches. Here's our current tally:

WE STARTED WITH 126

- Jie Zheng (5)
- Kanepi (12)
- Petkovic (1)
- Jankovic (2)
- Date-Krumm (1)
- Pennetta (1)

NEW TOTAL REMAINING: 104

Good luck to the slightly more than one-third of the original pool that remains to pick on Day 3!

natillydread
01-20-2015, 08:51 AM
I was really upset that I missed the Suicide Pool at the AO this year. I stupidly forgot. But I am not so sure that I would have survived this 1st round carnage. My sympathies to all who were eliminated and good luck to those left.

dryrunguy
01-20-2015, 09:02 AM
I was really upset that I missed the Suicide Pool at the AO this year. I stupidly forgot. But I am not so sure that I would have survived this 1st round carnage. My sympathies to all who were eliminated and good luck to those left.

Be sure to join us for the Indian Wells/Miami practice pools!

suliso
01-20-2015, 12:22 PM
After all the upsets the bottom half is becoming very difficult to navigate. Anyone fancy picking between Hradecka and Hercog? Many seem to be making a bet that Pliskova loses to Makarova in round 3. I'm thinking of doing exact opposite…

sokoll
01-20-2015, 12:30 PM
Many seem to be making a bet that Pliskova loses to Makarova in round 3. I'm thinking of doing exact opposite…

I lloked at both of them, but I think either Pliskova or Makarova would make a good choice for round 4, that is if either of them and I, most importantly :), make it that far. Either of them would be the highest ranked player in that part of the draw

suliso
01-20-2015, 12:44 PM
I lloked at both of them, but I think either Pliskova or Makarova would make a good choice for round 4, that is if either of them and I, most importantly :), make it that far. Either of them would be the highest ranked player in that part of the draw

Yes, but you still need to get that far. Peng or Errani might not cut it…

Charlie02123
01-20-2015, 01:49 PM
After all the upsets the bottom half is becoming very difficult to navigate. Anyone fancy picking between Hradecka and Hercog? Many seem to be making a bet that Pliskova loses to Makarova in round 3. I'm thinking of doing exact opposite…
I wanted Pliskova but if she gets past Makarova she'll make the quarters and maybe even the semis, so I have to save her.

dryrunguy
01-20-2015, 04:01 PM
Welcome to the Day 3 picks for the Women's Suicide Pool!

EDIT: We actually had one double pick already--someone picked Peng on both day 1 and day 3, so this has been revised to reflect the error. We are down to 103.

Today's Suicide Pool love is spread far and wide among various picks, so let's take a moment to break it all down:

Karolina Pliskova (42): Given Monday's carnage, this ought to be a safe pick--except Dodin caused the largest chunk of that carnage. This pick ought to work. Here's hoping you don't regret it.

Sara Errani (16): She was a popular choice on Day 1, and she is a popular choice again today. Soler-Espinoza hasn't beaten Errani in 3 tries, but all of those matches were on clay. Does that necessarily translate to a hardcourt? I guess we'll see. And there's also the concerns as to whether players are using her a round too early or if Halep will falter.

Zarina Diyas (12): I don't like this pick as much as I did 2 days ago, but I still like it. And the draw positioning works very well.

Shuai Peng (11): You all are super bold. I'll give you that. But I can't help but wonder if you're a round too early or a round too late. Good luck. Wait, just one question... Are you saving Shvedova or Puig?

Caroline Garcia (6): I liked this pick. Until I checked the head to head. Garcia has never beaten Voegele in two tries--once on a hardcourt and once on clay. But those results are a few years old. And Garcia outranks Voegele by 60 spots. I actually think you'll be okay. Which should concern you.

Kristina Mladenovic (3): You, along with the Mattek-Sands pickers, bit the draw positioning bullet. Very brave. It will work for a few of you. It won't for the others. No guts, no glory, right? Especially since the rest of this half of the draw looks like swiss cheese. See Mattek-Sands.

Bethanie Mattek-Sands (2): I just saw Bethanie's WTA profile photo. Three cheers for self-expression. I'll be rooting for Bethanie. See Mladenovic. Very brave.

Yanina Wickmayer (2): This is a very intriguing pick. She ought to win this match, no question. I'm hoping she has the health issues worked out and that she will be able to reassert herself on the tour. I just hate to put that much stock on Sara Errani.

Ekaterina Makarova (2): Well, you will almost certainly survive to see Day 4. The doubles draw came out today, so Roberta ought to be horribly distracted. That said, this pick could very well be three or even four rounds too early.

Christina McHale (2): Well, you'll likely have the full support of the Suarez Navarro pickers who fell on day 1 to Christina's opponent. Between that and McHale's puking during her match on Day 1, I hope this is a fast win for you on Day 3. And I hope you don't regret this on Day 5.

Julia Goerges (1): I wouldn't have touched this match with someone else's finger. Super risky pick both today and depending on how things unfold from here. But high risk can equal high reward. And perhaps that's why you are still in this mess and I'm reduced to observing from the sidelines. I'll be rooting for you.

Lucie Hradecka (1) and Palona Hercog (1): One of you will get a :notworthy: when this is over. They've only played once (2014 Linz), and Hradecka won it in a third set tiebreaker. Yowza.

Katerina Siniakova (1) and Irina-Camelia Begu (1): See Hradecka/Hercog. I am deeply impressed by your confidence in Carina Witthoeft to make the round of 16!

Good luck, everyone!

dryrunguy
01-20-2015, 05:14 PM
WE STARTED WITH 103 (will update this post for now and then quote it if the updates get complicated).

- McHale (2)
- Siniakova (1)
- Hercog (1)

DOWN TO 99

dryrunguy
01-20-2015, 05:27 PM
11 Pengs safely through!

EDIT: As are 2 Makarovas!

EDIT EDIT: As are 42 Pliskovas, one Goerges, and one Begu. We did lose a Sinakova, though.

EDIT EDIT EDIT: One Hradecka through, which also means the loss of one Hercog. As promised to the Hradecka picker: :notworthy:

jwcardinal11
01-20-2015, 08:47 PM
I was the Hradecka picker. Liked the way she fought against Ivanovic, but whew.

dryrunguy
01-21-2015, 01:12 AM
WE STARTED WITH 103 (will update this post for now and then quote it if the updates get complicated).

- McHale (2)
- Siniakova (1)
- Hercog (1)

DOWN TO 99

WE STARTED WITH 103

- McHale (2)
- Siniakova (1)
- Hercog (1)
- Mladenovic (3)

DOWN TO 96

suliso
01-21-2015, 01:23 AM
Pretty much everyone survived today. The only difference is that some of us are a bit better positioned to survive further upsets of top players. A very long way to go, though.

dryrunguy
01-21-2015, 04:03 PM
We start the day down to 94 as we had one No Pick and one duplicate pick from a Day 2 selection. Here are the numbers:

Zahlavova Strycova (28): She came through for a bunch of people on Day 2, and while I like her chances here, Chang was sharp in her first round match. Actually, it was a thumping. Good luck!

Svitolina (25): A perfectly logical pick given the draw position. But Gibbs was fairly impressive in her first round match. Looks good for you, though.

Cornet (13): Allertova was commanding in her first round match, and Alize can be, well, Alize. You ought to be okay.

Bacsinszky (11): I'm very keen on this pick. Well played.

Lepchenko (7): This makes a lot of sense--unless the home crowd becomes a factor.

Dellacqua (2): No faith in Madison Keys, eh? This match feels 50/50 to me, but perhaps 51/49 in favor of Casey if you add the home crowd to the mix.

Stosur (2): As a matter of principle, I try to avoid all things Stosur. See Muguruza, too.

Giorgi (1): It all depends on which Camila Giorgi shows up. Good Giorgi or Bad Giorgi... See Venus Williams.

Chang (1): One picker versus 28 Zahlavova Strycovas... I LOVE suicide pools! Good luck, BHar!

Brengle (1): I actually like this pick a lot. You are a bold soul.

Muguruza (1): As a matter of principle, I try to avoid all things Hantuchova. The winner of this match also may have another round in her. We'll see.

Venus Williams (1): As a Venus fan, I find this pick thoroughly offensive! But here's the funny thing--Venus doesn't get out of the second round of the Australian Open very often. Or is this a "new" Venus? And who might win a Venus/Good Giorgi encounter?

Radwanska (1): No, you can't do that--not this early! Hope this pick doesn't come back to haunt you.

TOTAL: 94

sokoll
01-21-2015, 04:23 PM
Chang (1)


This pick makes me worry, maybe we (Barbora's pickers) don't know something BHar knows...:undecided:

It's good that it's going to be a late match, won't be able to watch it, will find out my fate in the morning...

dryrunguy
01-21-2015, 04:32 PM
This pick makes me worry, maybe we don't know something this person knows...:undecided:

BHar is a smart cookie who knows his tennis far beyond his limited years on Earth. All of the Zahlavova Strycovas should be VERY worried. :freekingout:

Martini4me
01-21-2015, 05:43 PM
Cornet (13): Allertova was commanding in her first round match, and Alize can be, well, Alize. You ought to be okay.


I'd never heard of Allertova before I saw her in the suicide pool list this morning. She was pretty amazing last year. She had a 55-7 record for the season, winning seven tournaments out of eight (ITF) finals reached. She then qualified (three rounds) for the Luxembourg WTA tournament and won three main draw rounds (defeating Lisicki and Lepchenko) before losing in the semis to eventual champion Beck.

Given that these were mostly quite low-level tournaments, I don't think she's a real threat to defeat Cornet. Nevertheless, I decided to keep on looking for my choice today.

dryrunguy
01-21-2015, 08:37 PM
A totally drama-free day in the women's pool thus far.

Safely through are:

11 Bacsinszkys
7 Lepchenkos
1 Giorgi
1 Muguruza
1 Venus Williams
1 Radwanska

Our #1 and #3 bandwagons are playing now. The Svitolina pickers are basking in the fact that Gibbs cannot serve out a set. And I would imaging that the Zhalavova Strycova pickers are asking themselves, "Will it be us?"

dryrunguy
01-21-2015, 08:40 PM
And you just KNOW something horrible awaits around the corner when Cibulkova wins a match at 2 & love.

suliso
01-21-2015, 08:51 PM
That Gibbs girl gave us a major scare, but fortunately was unable to serve out the second set twice and we Svitolina pickers survive in two tiebreaks. :)

dryrunguy
01-21-2015, 08:51 PM
25 Svitolinas also safely through. And the Strycova pickers start to shake. :)

suliso
01-21-2015, 08:56 PM
It's so typical for women's pool lately. We lose a half or more on day 1-2 and then there is a quite period with most surviving till the first weekend. I wonder if there is some scientific explanation for this pattern.

dryrunguy
01-21-2015, 09:02 PM
It's so typical for women's pool lately. We lose a half or more on day 1-2 and then there is a quite period with most surviving till the first weekend. I wonder if there is some scientific explanation for this pattern.

Other than Radwanska and probably Venus, there has been nothing automatic about any of the other picks. In all honesty, I'm a little bummed. The only reason I agreed to run the AO women's pool was because I figured we'd be done by the end of the first Thursday. :evil:

suliso
01-21-2015, 09:26 PM
13 Cornet's might be in trouble. One set all after Alize failed to serve out the match twice...

dryrunguy
01-21-2015, 10:01 PM
Well, we lost two Dellacquas. :(

suliso
01-21-2015, 10:04 PM
And we didn't lose any Cornet's after all.

suliso
01-22-2015, 04:54 AM
We only lost 5 today

dryrunguy
01-22-2015, 08:34 AM
We started Day 4 with 94 players and lost 5:

- Dellacqua (2)
- Change (1)
- Stosur (2)

We are now down to 89 in the women's pool.

Day 5 should be SUPER interesting. :evil:

suliso
01-22-2015, 10:22 AM
The temptation to bet against Errani was bit, but eventually I decided that the risk is too big. Hopefully that isn't a blunder of epic proportions...

TennisAnyone74
01-22-2015, 12:14 PM
Chang (1): One picker versus 28 Zahlavova Strycovas... I LOVE suicide pools! Good luck, BHar!




This pick makes me worry, maybe we (Barbora's pickers) don't know something BHar knows...:undecided:

It's good that it's going to be a late match, won't be able to watch it, will find out my fate in the morning...

I tried on several occasions, (even calling him from work!) trying to change bhar's mind. I told him Chang was ranked 402 going against a person who is seeded. He asked if a lot of people were picking Strycova. I told him yes and that sealed the deal for him. I just told him that he doesn't want to win a suicide pool! He laughed. This is probably because I convinced him to change a pick once before and his original pick won. I vowed never to interfere again. I started to with his Bethanie Mattek-Sands pick, and I'm glad I didn't. I couldn't resist this time, but I again vow not to intervene with his picks, even when it's costly.

TA

dryrunguy
01-22-2015, 04:04 PM
We had 89 eligible to play today but also had 3 No Picks.

We are down to 86.

Here is the breakdown of today's picks:

Goerges (26): Hradecka hasn't beaten her in three tries so far. This OUGHT to work. Here's hoping Goerges stays healthy because, well, you never really know with her. See Hradecka.

Errani (16): You're betting that the Yanina of old shows up. If Errani advances much further in the draw, hardly anyone will be able to take her if something wacky happens.

Peng (15): Excellent draw positioning--unless something happens to Sharapova who was really dicey on Day 3 against an inspired opponent.

Begu (12): Oy. Good luck. See Witthoeft.

Makarova (8): Several folks staked their claims on Day 3. Today we find out who was right.

Wittoeft (4): Oy. Good luck. See Begu.

Hradecka (2): An incredibly bold pick, unless you believe that Goerges is too fragile to pull this off. I love it when we have pickers versus pickers--as we have every day so far in the women's pool.

Bouchard (2): Chickens!!! :)

Halep (1): Chicken! :)

TOTAL: 86

Best of luck to all!

mmmm8
01-22-2015, 04:28 PM
Hradecka actually did beat Goerges in 2009 in Istanbul (but lost the 3 meeting since). I am a Goerges picker and I am Woerried.

dryrunguy
01-22-2015, 05:26 PM
8 Makarovas are safely through. All three other matches underway at the moment are tight but favoring the pool selections (unless you picked Hradecka, but things can change quickly).

Martini4me
01-22-2015, 05:43 PM
Wow, nobody picked Pliskova? I thought that (and four other matches) were too close to choose from.

dryrunguy
01-22-2015, 05:53 PM
26 Goergeses (is that the proper plural? Goergesi? Goergesae?) are safely through.

dryrunguy
01-22-2015, 06:11 PM
15 Pengs are in to Day 6. Where's my carnage?!?!?

Chillo
01-22-2015, 06:15 PM
15 Pengs are in to Day 6. Where's my carnage?!?!?

Errani is down 4-2 in the final set....

PeterSkan
01-22-2015, 06:30 PM
ERRORani killed me. Should have known.

mmmm8
01-22-2015, 06:37 PM
ERRORani killed me. Should have known.

I, for one, am glad I Err(ani)ed on the side of beauty by picking Go(e)rges today. It was a Hrd, e(e)cky decision.

waylandboy-tw
01-22-2015, 06:41 PM
I, for one, am glad I Err(ani)ed on the side of beauty by picking Go(e)rges today. It was a Hrd, e(e)cky decision.

Well played:)

Martini4me
01-22-2015, 07:01 PM
26 Goergeses (is that the proper plural? Goergesi? Goergesae?) are safely through.

In German, you pluralize by adding an -n or -en. So it would be die Goergesen.

JazzNU
01-22-2015, 07:48 PM
Surprised by the number of Errani pickers. Wonder if they thought she was really going to win or if they were out of viable options for the day. Either way, they lasted it 4 more days than I did!

suliso
01-22-2015, 08:10 PM
I survived the day, but draw positioning is not great… Now I absolutely need Halep to clean up this section. Go Simona!

dryrunguy
01-22-2015, 09:35 PM
It was a surprisingly good day in the women's pool (unless you lost, but it really could have been much bloodier)!

We started with 86:
- Hradecka (2)
- Errani (16)
- Wittoeft (4)

TOTAL REMAINING: 64

GlennHarman
01-23-2015, 12:54 AM
I speak German, having studied there, but I still am not sure about the plural of Goerges, but will add the following: Many nouns in German pluralize by NOT changing at all. Given that "s" is a weird ending for a German proper name, my suspicion is that most Germans would pluralize it by doing nothing. So one of her is "die Goerges", and a bunch of hers would be "die Goerges" as well (in the nominative case)........and I would take this as nothing more than an educated opinion that may be wrong.
And now back to this totally weird SP. G

mmmm8
01-23-2015, 05:09 AM
Die Goerges is probably exactly what those two Hradecka pickers are thinking now.

(The fruit was almost touching the ground, so I had to pick it up):

Scotty
01-23-2015, 08:38 AM
m8 has been particularly en fuego this week. I don't know how to say that in German, but I bet it's one word that's about 14 characters.

dryrunguy
01-23-2015, 04:02 PM
Let's talk about today's picks (all 64 picks are valid) for the women's pool by quarter of the draw:

QUARTER 1

Serena Williams (2): It's hard to win one of these things, much less beat the draw, without taking some calculated risks. I hope that's what this is, and I would love to know who is supposed to beat her later on. Muguruza? Azarenka? Inquiring minds want to know!

Garbine Muguruza (23): Muguruza and Bacsinszky have never played before, so that is an unknown. But if the seeds hold up (and they haven't), draw positioning alone makes this a defensible choice.

Victoria Azarenka (4): Zhalavova Strycova has never taken a set off Vika. So Victoria certainly ought to win. The question is this: What happens next?

QUARTER 2

Petra Kvitova (1): You'll almost certainly survive Day 6, but...

Coco Vandeweghe (21): She has played Brengle three times. Madison won their first encounter in 2009 due to retirement but since then has not won a set from Coco in two outings. The draw positioning works very well here, so it's up to Coco to execute. But Bringle has been in good form. We'll see!

Venus Williams (8): Again, as a loyal fan of Venus Williams, I hate you all! Now we wait to see which Camila Giorgi shows up.

Agnieszka Radwanska (5): Well, Vavara has won their last two meetings--both on hardcourts and both during 2014. If Lepchenko pulls of the threepeat, the people who have already used Venus Williams are likely to be almost as disappointed as you are.

Good luck to all! And shame on all of you for not picking Cibulkova/Cornet!!! :)

suliso
01-23-2015, 04:13 PM
I can imagine all 64 advancing, but I can also imagine less than a half doing so. :)

suliso
01-23-2015, 04:23 PM
Agnieszka Radwanska (5): Well, Vavara has won their last two meetings--both on hardcourts and both during 2014. If Lepchenko pulls of the threepeat, the people who have already used Venus Williams are likely to be almost as disappointed as you are.


The opposite is true as well. Radwanska pickers won't be happy about Giorgi winning. Because of all this I decided to stay away from either match.

dryrunguy
01-23-2015, 04:51 PM
Which was more difficult for you as someone who had to pick--yesterday or today? I thought they were both pretty awful.

suliso
01-23-2015, 05:00 PM
Which was more difficult for you as someone who had to pick--yesterday or today? I thought they were both pretty awful.

What was awful? Picks? They were fine as long as Coco doesn't let me and 20 others down...

mmmm8
01-23-2015, 05:05 PM
Yesterday had fewer reliable (but viable in quest to beat the draw) options, today was more diffcult in terms of strategy.

suliso
01-23-2015, 05:10 PM
Yesterday had fewer reliable (but viable in quest to beat the draw) options, today was more diffcult in terms of strategy.

Ah, I see. It's too late for much thinking :)

I think the real strategy, other than avoiding very high seeds, starts tomorrow with R16. Today it was still possible to make picks (like Muguruza or Vandewege) which avoid tough questions on who will reach SF's and who not.

dryrunguy
01-23-2015, 05:37 PM
The second set got unnecessarily complicated, but 5 Radwanskas are through to Day 7.

Ribbons
01-23-2015, 06:03 PM
Which was more difficult for you as someone who had to pick--yesterday or today? I thought they were both pretty awful.

Yesterday. Even with my history of insane (and occasionally inprobably successful) picks, entrusting my survival to Begu was a headspinny moment. (Yes, she's done rather well recently. But I find it hard to shake negative impressions of players collected in person, and she did not look good vs. Diyas last August in Cincy, even though the score was close.)

JazzNU
01-23-2015, 08:55 PM
Good luck to all! And shame on all of you for not picking Cibulkova/Cornet!!! :)

Totally! Very surprised by no Cibulkova picks, defending her finals appearance and a good record against Cornet.

Dry, your daily wrap ups continue to be my favorite thing about the Suicide Pools. Thanks for doing the women this time (I only ever remember you doing the men's).

dryrunguy
01-23-2015, 09:14 PM
Totally! Very surprised by no Cibulkova picks, defending her finals appearance and a good record against Cornet.

Dry, your daily wrap ups continue to be my favorite thing about the Suicide Pools. Thanks for doing the women this time (I only ever remember you doing the men's).

Thanks, Jazz! I appreciate that. People should take them worth a grain of salt. I'm wrong A LOT. :) I can't remember exactly when I managed the men's pool, but I did it once, I think. It was probably Wimbledon so shtexas could have a break and actually watch some tennis.

I really thought someone would take Cibulkova for both the H2H and her form so far in the tournament. She's been solid. But I bet a lot of people backed off because her form has been so terrible for a while now. Or because some folks may see her beating Azaranka. Hard to say.

Woznowuss
01-23-2015, 10:25 PM
Well, I did pick Cibulkova, but then remembered she'd knocked me out so very often, and changed my pick to Vandeweghe. That didn't work out so well...

dryrunguy
01-23-2015, 11:23 PM
Well, I did pick Cibulkova, but then remembered she'd knocked me out so very often, and changed my pick to Vandeweghe. That didn't work out so well...

Oh, that's right! I now remember that you changed your pick. I'm sorry that it didn't work out, but you fought admirably and most indications were that Vandeweghe SHOULD win that match going in. Hey, feel free to keep hanging around and be sure to participate in our Indian Wells and Miami practice suicide pools. They're a lot of fun.

varactor
01-24-2015, 05:13 AM
Serena Williams (2): It's hard to win one of these things, much less beat the draw, without taking some calculated risks. I hope that's what this is, and I would love to know who is supposed to beat her later on. Muguruza? Azarenka? Inquiring minds want to know!

There's no specific player who is supposed to beat her, I'm just guessing that somebody in the field will. I can very easily see her losing to Muguruza, Cibulkova, or Azarenka. She's vulnerable to anyone on an off day, as indicated by her recent history at non-US Slams.

So yes, it's a calculated risk, but I think it's riskier to assume she's going to win it all. Obviously I could be wrong (notice there aren't any medals by my name), but that's why it's a contest!

rktct2b
01-24-2015, 05:36 AM
There's no specific player who is supposed to beat her, I'm just guessing that somebody in the field will. I can very easily see her losing to Muguruza, Cibulkova, or Azarenka. She's vulnerable to anyone on an off day, as indicated by her recent history at non-US Slams.

So yes, it's a calculated risk, but I think it's riskier to assume she's going to win it all. Obviously I could be wrong (notice there aren't any medals by my name), but that's why it's a contest!

Varactor, no medals by your name, you say...and you joined in 2013...try playing these SPs since Aus Open 2006 (the year Baghdatis reached the final) and not have any medals! ;) I've been knocked out by so many different players, I can't recall who NOT to choose anymore. Lol. My worst pick was at Aus Open a few years ago - J Johansson had blisters (who knew?) and retired 30 mins in his 1st rd match. That has to be a 'fastest SP loss' record surely...
Still alive this year in women's SP...fingers crossed!

GlennHarman
01-24-2015, 06:32 AM
Varactor, no medals by your name, you say...and you joined in 2013...try playing these SPs since Aus Open 2006 (the year Baghdatis reached the final) and not have any medals! ;) I've been knocked out by so many different players, I can't recall who NOT to choose anymore. Lol. My worst pick was at Aus Open a few years ago - J Johansson had blisters (who knew?) and retired 30 mins in his 1st rd match. That has to be a 'fastest SP loss' record surely...
Still alive this year in women's SP...fingers crossed!

I'm right there with you.....I loved that comment by someone a few days ago about making his/her pick and then checking later to see what the people with medals were doing. I wanted to say: A better concept would be to look to see what I am doing, then do something else. That used to be ALWAYS true, since I used to never make it past Wednesday or so in the first week. This time I'm still in both entering day 7, which I feel must be some sort of fluke in the fabric of the universe. I'll probably flame out soon and be back to my usual success level by the French Open. GH

New England Nitemare
01-24-2015, 06:48 AM
Yes, been here almost 4 years, no medals yet either. Closest I came was two years ago at the Men's Australian Open final, between Andy Murray and Novak Djokovic, but had Murray winning. Coco KO'd me in the women's pool.... Still alive in the Men's pool, so we shall see if I can get that 1st medal this go round.

sokoll
01-24-2015, 07:11 AM
I've been knocked out by so many different players, I can't recall who NOT to choose anymore. Lol.

LOL, same here, first I started a "do not pick" list, but then I gave up on it :-))
and I too have been playing for many years with no medals, since RG 2009 I think... came couple times a pick away from winning, but...
still alive in both this time... but better draw position in men's

sokoll
01-24-2015, 07:14 AM
Checked the scores in the morning and Kvitova lost :shocked: That screwed up my picks... I picked Radwanska yesterday, thinking that I would not have the guts pick Aga winning against Venus (I already used Venus), and then Petra would beat whoever wins the battle... *sigh*

suliso
01-24-2015, 07:17 AM
Well, now you'll have no choice but to pick Aga vs Venus match if still alive at that stage. Still better than me who got Brengled last night...

sokoll
01-24-2015, 07:51 AM
I always forget how latest rounds work at different Slams, so can anyone help me figure out if women's QFs going to be played all on the same day, or are they going to be played over 2 days?

sokoll
01-24-2015, 07:53 AM
Well, now you'll have no choice but to pick Aga vs Venus match if still alive at that stage.

now I have no chance of picking in that match, since I used them both

suliso
01-24-2015, 07:58 AM
now I have no chance of picking in that match, since I used them both

You are still ok if you have both Vika and Serena left. Vika (or Serena) in the fourth round and Keys in QF's. Not that unlikely to happen.

sokoll
01-24-2015, 08:10 AM
Keys in QF's.

I know she is in good form, but I don't think Keys will beat Aga

suliso
01-24-2015, 08:19 AM
I know she is in good form, but I don't think Keys will beat Aga

Me neither, but you have no other choice than to bet on that. Plus it might be Venus instead of Aga.

sokoll
01-24-2015, 08:28 AM
Me neither, but you have no other choice than to bet on that. Plus it might be Venus instead of Aga.

I might have to choose Serena just to last one more day :-) if I get to that stage of course

dryrunguy
01-24-2015, 08:42 AM
We started Saturday with 64:

- Vandeweghe (21)
- Kvitova (1)

We are now down to 42.

dryrunguy
01-24-2015, 08:44 AM
I always forget how latest rounds work at different Slams, so can anyone help me figure out if women's QFs going to be played all on the same day, or are they going to be played over 2 days?

The Australian Open plays quarterfinals over two days, so the two halves of the draw do not come together until the semifinals.

Guillermo Grayclay
01-24-2015, 10:20 AM
Serena Williams (2): It's hard to win one of these things, much less beat the draw, without taking some calculated risks. I hope that's what this is, and I would love to know who is supposed to beat her later on. Muguruza? Azarenka? Inquiring minds want to know!

I'm the other guy who picked Serena yesterday, and I almost changed my mind after posting.

I chose Serena this round because I don't feel she's all there. Seems to be flakey. The whole espresso ("expresso" - pffft - get it right Serena) thing in Perth seemed surreal. When the draw came out I foresaw Muguruza beating her, and if not, then Kvitova.

The way Azarenka was playing in the first two rounds (and btw last night's BZS match was fun to watch!), I decided that this was Serena's last definite win. And there was no way I was going to touch the Venus or Coco matches.

We'll see if I'm right about Serena. I was wrong about Kvitova and Federer in my Skan. So...

sokoll
01-24-2015, 10:30 AM
The Australian Open plays quarterfinals over two days, so the two halves of the draw do not come together until the semifinals.

Thanks dryrunguy. That sucks for me...
Well, at least I'll probably make it to the updated results thread :-)

skatingfan
01-24-2015, 02:40 PM
Varactor, no medals by your name, you say...and you joined in 2013...try playing these SPs since Aus Open 2006 (the year Baghdatis reached the final) and not have any medals! ;) I've been knocked out by so many different players, I can't recall who NOT to choose anymore. Lol. My worst pick was at Aus Open a few years ago - J Johansson had blisters (who knew?) and retired 30 mins in his 1st rd match. That has to be a 'fastest SP loss' record surely...
Still alive this year in women's SP...fingers crossed!

I'm not sure of the fastest but I do remember that some people were knocked out of the US Open a few years ago by picking Robin Soderling, who promptly withdrew shortly before his first round match but after the start of play that day.

mmmm8
01-24-2015, 02:43 PM
I'm not sure of the fastest but I do remember that some people were knocked out of the US Open a few years ago by picking Robin Soderling, who promptly withdrew shortly before his first round match but after the start of play that day.

And before that there's ther ~100 victims of the Gasquet cough (where he similarly withdrew right around start of play due to a cough).

dryrunguy
01-24-2015, 02:47 PM
I'm pretty sure I still hold the record for being the fastest to be double-cheeked in a major. IIRC, it was less than 2 hours into Day 1. LOL! I think that was last year? I have brain cells scattered all over the eastern seaboard.

dryrunguy
01-24-2015, 04:01 PM
We start Day 7 with 42 remaining players in the women's pool. All of today's picks were valid picks. Well done.

Let's look at how things stand by quarter:

Quarter 3:

Makarova (17): Makarova and Goerges have never played. Makarova looked solid in Week 1 while Goerges got through but had some dicey moments. I like this pick... Except...

Halep (2): Halep has never taken a set from Yanina Wickmayer, but they haven't played since 2012, either. The Simona Halep of today is not THAT Simona Halep. But I doubt it's easy to go into a match against an opponent from whom you haven't managed to take a set. So that presents a different dilemma for those taking Halep today... She also has a win over Makarova. A very bold pick for numerous reasons.


Quarter 4:

Bouchard (22): Bouchard and Begu have never played, but all indications are that Bouchard ought to take this and lose to Sharapova. But she's 1-0 against Peng, so if something bizarre happens in the other match in this quarter, you could be in trouble--especially if you've already taken Peng.

Sharapova (1): Maria is 4-1 against Peng with Shuai's only win coming back in 2009--though on a hardcourt. Sharapova also leads the H2H against Bouchard, so this pick is full of challenges. Best of luck.

::

I am predicting you all get through, but Day 9 could be challenging for some of you.

mmmm8
01-24-2015, 07:54 PM
Everything was going well until I just realized my next pick has to come from the Madisons' match. :nailbiter:

dryrunguy
01-24-2015, 10:10 PM
Everything was going well until I just realized my next pick has to come from the Madisons' match. :nailbiter:

I really don't understand why you're worried, M8. You only have to decide if Madison Keys can play the kind of match that Madison Brengle used to beat Coco. This is what you get for not being knocked out in round 1 like me. :)

skatingfan
01-25-2015, 01:45 AM
Everything was going well until I just realized my next pick has to come from the Madisons' match. :nailbiter:

Just remember - pressure is a privilege :thumbsup:

mmmm8
01-25-2015, 10:52 AM
Just remember - pressure is a privilege :thumbsup:

Tell that to Madison Keys.

Guillermo Grayclay
01-25-2015, 12:48 PM
The Australian Open plays quarterfinals over two days, so the two halves of the draw do not come together until the semifinals.

Is that the same for all Slams?

dryrunguy
01-25-2015, 01:12 PM
Is that the same for all Slams? No. I think Wimbledon is different (draws come together in the quarterfinals because of the middle "No Play" Sunday). Ziti for Brains here is also drawing a blank about Roland Garros.

skatingfan
01-25-2015, 02:10 PM
No. I think Wimbledon is different (draws come together in the quarterfinals because of the middle "No Play" Sunday). Ziti for Brains here is also drawing a blank about Roland Garros.

Round of 16 for Wimbledon - second Monday - Roland Garros & the US Open don't come together until the semis.

dryrunguy
01-25-2015, 02:27 PM
Round of 16 for Wimbledon - second Monday - Roland Garros & the US Open don't come together until the semis.

D'oh! Yes, you are correct.

Martini4me
01-25-2015, 02:47 PM
Everything was going well until I just realized my next pick has to come from the Madisons' match. :nailbiter:

And what's so bad about that? I would think it's an easy pick between those two (the one who's predicted to be a future top 5 player, or the one who's been a no-name for the last five years). My problem is, I picked Madison (Keys) back in the first round.

Plus, my expected champion has already been eliminated.

dryrunguy
01-25-2015, 04:01 PM
Welcome to Day 8 to our survivors and sorrowful onlookers! We start the day with 42 remaining players. Yesterday was a good day. Today, however, we are guaranteed as least a little carnage. Let's see where things stand:

Madison Keys (28): It's the battle of Madison, and Gov. Scott Walker is nowhere to be found for once! Woohoo! So, the Madisons have only played once before--on a hardcourt in qualifying at the U.S. Open. Keys won it easily in straights. But I don't think that matters much. It all depends if Keys can both control herself while also managing to blow Brengle off the court more often than not. But I like your chances today.

Victoria Azarenka (11) vs. Dominka Cibulkova (2): There's really not any point in checking the head to head here. Azarenka is on the comeback trail, and in many respects so is Dominika as she has been absolutely terrible until the Australian Open started. Anything can happen here. We'll either lose 11 or 2.

Serena Williams (1): Very bold. I like your chances to get through and am anxious to see what you do from here.

Good luck! And thanks to all for NOT picking Venus Williams today! :) Oh wait... What does that mean? :mad:

mmmm8
01-25-2015, 04:38 PM
And what's so bad about that? I would think it's an easy pick between those two (the one who's predicted to be a future top 5 player, or the one who's been a no-name for the last five years). My problem is, I picked Madison (Keys) back in the first round.

Plus, my expected champion has already been eliminated.

Teenagers are always very predictable!

Ribbons
01-25-2015, 06:31 PM
To the two who picked Domi: :notworthy:

dryrunguy
01-25-2015, 06:46 PM
To the two who picked Domi: :notworthy:

Absolutely!

patrick
01-25-2015, 07:48 PM
If Muguruza and Brengle wins, the Cibulkova pickers will stand tall

ptmcmahon
01-25-2015, 10:26 PM
Good luck! And thanks to all for NOT picking Venus Williams today! :) Oh wait... What does that mean? :mad:

Clearly saving her since they know she will thump Aga...but what round are they saving her for ;)

dryrunguy
01-25-2015, 10:58 PM
Clearly saving her since they know she will thump Aga...but what round are they saving her for ;)

Several folks picked her in early rounds. Eight used her 2 days ago. It's a good thing I fell on Day 1 of the pool because I don't know what I would have done with her if push came to shove. LOL!

dryrunguy
01-25-2015, 11:02 PM
We started the day with 42:

- Azarenka (11)

We are down to 31 survivors. The UPDATED Picks & Results thread will be posted tomorrow. We normally try to do them at the same time but not enough people are losing in the men's game.

nelslus
01-25-2015, 11:32 PM
Good luck! And thanks to all for NOT picking Venus Williams today! :) Oh wait... What does that mean? :mad:

......AND if Aggie gets through She-Who-Shall-Not-Be-Named..... :hammerhead: (IF not :axe:)


;-)

ptmcmahon
01-25-2015, 11:55 PM
We started the day with 42:

- Azarenka (11)

We are down to 31 survivors. The UPDATED Picks & Results thread will be posted tomorrow. We normally try to do them at the same time but not enough people are losing in the men's game.

A problem only for the medal awarders ;)

patrick
01-26-2015, 02:47 AM
......AND if Aggie gets through She-Who-Shall-Not-Be-Named..... :hammerhead: (IF not :axe:)


;-)

She-Who-Shall-Not-Be-Named won in 3 sets

nelslus
01-26-2015, 07:23 AM
She-Who-Shall-Not-Be-Named won in 3 sets

LOL, my partner left me a big note about this for me to find when I woke up. :)

.....And, HOPEFULLY, dry has now learned his lesson.... :shocked:

dryrunguy
01-26-2015, 09:53 AM
This thread is now closed. The UPDATED Women's Picks & Results thread may be found at http://www.talkabouttennis.com/forum/threads/22893-UPDATED-2015-AOSP-Women-s-P-amp-R-Thread?p=825887#post825887.