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shtexas
08-29-2014, 10:27 AM
I have opened this updated thread with our 72 survivors earlier than usual for my convenience. :cheesy:

Aggierules: Chardy - Querrey - Janowicz - Kohlschreiber - Monfils - Tsonga. - Lopez.

Angryduck71: Kohlschreiber - Querrey - Anderson - Isner - Lopez - Murray. - Bautista Agut. - Wawrinka - Berdych - Djokovic - Cilic - Nishikori

Auburn84: Kohlschreiber - Monfils - Gulbis - Tsonga - Cilic - Murray. - Bautista Agut. - Raonic

Bismarck: Mayer - Querrey - Anderson - Isner - Gasquet - Raonic. - Bautista Agut. - Tsonga

Canadafubuki: Chardy - Simon - Anderson - Mayer - Cilic - Tsonga. - Berdych. - np

Cdavid99: Kohlschreiber - Simon - Klizan - Nishikori - Cilic - Murray. - Lopez.

Charlie02123: Verdasco - Monfils - Anderson - Isner - Lopez - Tsonga. - Bautista Agut. - Wawrinka - Dimitrov

Christinestiara: Kohlschreiber - Querrey - Anderson - Isner - Lopez - Tsonga. - Dimitrov. - Raonic

Csgnyc: Kohlschreiber - Monfils - Anderson - Isner - Lopez - Tsonga. - Bautista Agut. - Wawrinka - Dimitrov

Da_hustla: Kohlschreiber - Querrey - Goffin - Robredo - Lopez - Wawrinka. - Berdych. - np

Drop-shot: Kohlschreiber - Simon - Cilic - Tsonga - Gasquet - Murray. - Dimitrov. - Nishikori - Berdych - Wawrinka

Dryrunguy: Kohlschreiber - Querrey - Anderson - Isner - Gasquet - Tsonga. - Bautista Agut. - Raonic

Enigmaticdan: Kohlschreiber - Querrey - Sousa - Mayer - Monfils - np

Fastbackss: Kohlschreiber - Simon - Goffin - Isner - Cilic - Wawrinka. - Berdych. - Raonic

FEBravo: Kohlschreiber - Bautista Agut - Anderson - Isner - Gasquet - Tsonga. - Berdych. - Murray - Dimitrov

JFederex: Kohlschreiber - Bautista Agut - Goffin - Isner - Monfils - Tsonga. - Ferrer.

Funkstar: Kohlschreiber - Monfils - Lopez - Isner - Gasquet - Nishikori. - Berdych. - Raonic

Gacritter: Mayer - Mannarino - Anderson - Robredo - Simon - Nishikori. - Bautista Agut. - Raonic

Gibbermiata: Verdasco - Simon - Lopez - Isner - Karlovic

Glarange: Verdasco - Mannarino - Anderson - Kohlschreiber - Simon - Nishikori. - Lopez.

Icor927: Kohlschreiber - Karlovic - Anderson - Robredo - Monfils - np

IronMike: Kohlschreiber - Simon - Goffin - Robredo - Gasquet - Isner.

Jadesa: Kohlschreiber - Simon - Anderson - Mayer - Fognini

Jax8700: Verdasco - Bautista Agut - Anderson - Kohlschreiber - Monfils - Tsonga. - Berdych. - Raonic

Jmcguire: Kohlschreiber - Monfils - Lopez - Isner - Cilic - Robredo. - Bautista Agut. - Djokovic - Dimitrov

Joanjettson: Kohlschreiber - Bautista Agut - Lopez - Isner - Simon - Tsonga. - Dimitrov. - Murray - Cilic - Wawrinka

Jugrossman: Robredo - Karlovic - Gulbis - Kohlschreiber - Cilic - Murray. - Lopez.

Justme: Kohlschreiber - Simon - Goffin - Robredo - Fognini

JJwcardinal11: Verdasco - Querrey - Lopez - Kohlschreiber - Goffin - Nishikori. - np

Kat804: Kohlschreiber - Fognini - Anderson - Isner - Monfils - Nishikori. - Bautista Agut. - Raonic

Kmf1683: Kohlschreiber - Simon - Goffin - Isner - Lopez - Nishikori. - Bautista Agut. - Wawrinka - Cilic - Djokovic - np

Ktothem1: Kohlschreiber - Querrey - Anderson - Isner - Bautista Agut - Tsonga. - Lopez.

Lbk77: Kohlschreiber - Monfils - Anderson - Isner - Simon - Tsonga. - Berdych. - Raonic

Leaker: Chardy - Karlovic - Anderson - Kohlschreiber - Lopez - Nishikori. - Berdych. - Raonic

Led14pa2: Mayer - Monfils - Anderson - Kohlschreiber - Simon - Tsonga. - Dimitrov. - Raonic

Lemons: Kohlschreiber - Querrey - Anderson - Isner - Fognini

shtexas
08-29-2014, 10:27 AM
Leslie: Verdasco - Simon - Anderson - Kohlschreiber - Gasquet - Tsonga. - Bautista Agut. - Wawrinka - Dimitrov

JLuvs10s: Verdasco - Monfils - Anderson - Kohlschreiber - Simon - Tsonga. - Ferrer.

Madame: Kohlschreiber - Mannarino - Sousa - Mayer - Lopez - Nishikori. - Bautista Agut. - Raonic

Manila Smash: Verdasco - Monfils - Anderson - Robredo - Simon - Tsonga. - Cilic. - Wawrinka - Dimitrov

Matori: Mayer - Simon - Goffin - Nishikori - Gasquet - Tsonga. - Bautista Agut. - Murray - Berdych - Wawrinka

Merdon: Kohlschreiber - Simon - Lopez - Nishikori - Gasquet - Tsonga. - Bautista Agut. - Wawrinka - Dimitrov

Michelle78: Robredo - Simon - Anderson - Mayer - Monfils - Tsonga. - Bautista Agut. - Wawrinka - Cilic - Nishikori - Berdych

Miles: Kohlschreiber - Querrey - Anderson - Isner - Gasquet - Tsonga. - Bautista Agut. - Murray - Dimitrov

Mitch: Robredo - Bautista Agut - Anderson - Isner - Cilic - Tsonga. - Lopez.

Mocam57: Kohlschreiber - Simon - Anderson - Robredo - Monfils - Nishikori. - Lopez.

Mu_royals: Kohlschreiber - Querrey - Goffin - Isner - Cilic - Murray. - Berdych. - Nishikori - Dimitrov

Munchin: Verdasco - Simon - Gulbis - Isner - Gasquet - Tsonga. - Bautista Agut. - Wawrinka - Berdych - Nishikori - Cilic - Federer

Nelslus: Kohlschreiber - Querrey - Anderson - Isner - Simon - Tsonga. - Dimitrov. - Murray - Cilic - Wawrinka

Net_Raider: Kohlschreiber - Monfils - Anderson - Isner - Fognini

Omegadoom: Kohlschreiber - Monfils - Anderson - Isner - Gasquet - Tsonga. - Bautista Agut. - Murray - Dimitrov

Patrick: Kohlschreiber - Querrey - Goffin - Isner - Gasquet - Tsonga. - Bautista Agut. - Raonic

Pbutler50: Kohlschreiber - Simon - Goffin - Robredo - Gasquet - Nishikori. - Bautista Agut. - Wawrinka - Dimitrov

Redclay: Kohlschreiber - Querrey - Anderson - Isner - Lopez - Tsonga. - Bautista Agut. - Nishikori - Cilic - Wawinka

Rickym63: Kohlschreiber - Isner - Goffin - Tsonga - Gasquet - Murray. - Bautista Agut. - Wawrinka - Cilic - Nishikori - Berdych

Shakermaker: Chardy - Simon - Anderson - Kohlschreiber - Karlovic

Sjokolade: Robredo - Querrey - Janowicz - Kohlschreiber - Goffin - Isner.

Slamdog: Verdasco - Monfils - Anderson - Isner - Bautista Agut - Wawrinka. - Berdych. - Murray - Dimitrov

Smallwonder: Kohlschreiber - Fognini - Anderson - Isner - Lopez - Tsonga. - Berdych. - Wawrinka - Dimitrov

Snoo Foo: Mayer - Mannarino - Goffin - Kohlschreiber - Simon - Tsonga. - Bautista Agut. - Wawrinka - Cilic - Nishikori - Berdych

Sokoll: Kohlschreiber - Simon - Anderson - Isner - Gasquet - Tsonga. - Bautista Agut. - Raonic

Stracciatella: Mayer - Simon - Goffin - Kohlschreiber - Gasquet - Murray. - Bautista Agut. - Raonic

SwissBliss: Kohlschreiber - Querrey - Anderson - Isner - Cilic - Murray. - Dimitrov. - Raonic

Synth: Verdasco - Simon - Anderson - Isner - Gasquet - Murray. - Berdych. - Wawrinka - Dimitrov

The_shirtless_putins: Verdasco - Querrey - Anderson - Isner - Cilic - Murray. - Lopez.

Tigress: Kohlschreiber - Simon - Cilic - Isner - Lopez - Tsonga. - Dimitrov. - Murray - Monfils - Wawrinka

Ubermitch: Mayer - Querrey - Goffin - Kohlschreiber - Gasquet - Tsonga. - Berdych. - Murray - Dimitrov

Venuslove: Kohlschreiber - Simon - Anderson - Isner - Monfils - Nishikori. - Bautista Agut. - Wawrinka - Berdych - Djokovic - Cilic - Federer

JVexchaps: Verdasco - Mannarino - Anderson - Kohlschreiber - Gasquet - Murray. - Ferrer.

Wfwalsh: Kohlschreiber - Simon - Anderson - Isner - Lopez - Raonic. - Dimitrov. - Wawrinka - Berdych - Djokovic - Cilic - Nishikori

Wjbeauch: Verdasco - Monfils - Anderson - Isner - Cilic - Nishikori. - Bautista Agut. - Murray - Dimitrov

Zac.richardson: Kohlschreiber - Garcia-Lopez - Anderson - Tsonga - Lopez - Raonic. - Berdych. - Wawrinka - Simon

shtexas
08-29-2014, 10:33 AM
Day 5 breakdown:

13 Lopez
11 Cilic
9 Simon
2 Goffin
9 Monfils
20 Gasquet
4 Fognini
2 Bautista Agut
2 Karlovic

72 (3 no-picks!?)

Madame
08-29-2014, 11:30 AM
so can we say we made it to the updated list ??? :cheesy:

Charlie02123
08-29-2014, 11:35 AM
so can we say we made it to the updated list ??? :cheesy:
I hope so. I've already ordered the stationary. :woohoo:

shtexas
08-29-2014, 11:56 AM
so can we say we made it to the updated list ??? :cheesy:

Sure

Drop-shot
08-29-2014, 04:34 PM
Another late night session with post-match thoughts:

13 Lopez: he won easily as he should, but remember my prediction that he might go deep? With Gulbis' loss and an iffy Berdych those quarterfinals are looking much better.

11 Cilic: easy win and a good choice. Risky match with Anderson and then Ferrer means his risk rate just rose.

9 Simon: idem Cilic, but losing a round earlier.

2 Goffin: this was a gutsy pick that paid off. I would've gone elsewhere, but how can you argue with success?

9 Monfils: not unlike Cilic, easy win, tricky match against Gasquet -that I wouldn't touch with a pole- and then Dimitrov. Not a death sentence exactly but not matches I'd like to depend on.

20 Gasquet: see Monfils.

4 Fognini: he's been too moody lately (and that's saying a lot with Fabio), so this pick was just NO.

2 Bautista Agut: not bad. I wouldn't have picked from this match, but it paid off.

2 Karlovic: some people have not been reading my analysis at all :cheesy:

shtexas
08-29-2014, 08:39 PM
Day 5 final:

13 Lopez
11 Cilic
9 Simon
2 Goffin
9 Monfils
20 Gasquet
4 Fognini
2 Bautista Agut
2 Karlovic

72 - 6 = 66

shtexas
08-30-2014, 08:04 AM
Day 6 breakdown:

2 Isner
31 Tsonga
12 Murray
3 Wawrinka
12 Nishikori
3 Raonic
1 Robredo

64 (2 no-picks)

suliso
08-30-2014, 08:07 AM
All those Tsonga pickers will regret it when he brushes aside Murray (if he even gets there) next week.

dryrunguy
08-30-2014, 10:07 AM
All those Tsonga pickers will regret it when he brushes aside Murray (if he even gets there) next week.

Not if we have suitable options from the Wawrinka/Raonic/Nishikori quarter.

Drop-shot
08-30-2014, 12:50 PM
By tomorrow we'll be back on schedule... though I don't know how many will still be around. This has been brutal.

2 Isner: he's already lost twice to PEHK here at the USO (also third rounds) so this was a big NO.

31 Tsonga: great choice. Eventhough he might defeat Murray next round, do you really want to pend on that result? And the he takes on Nole. Well played.

12 Murray: same scenario as Tsonga applies.

3 Wawrinka: I keep on waiting for Stan to deflate as he has lately, but so far he hasn't. Good choice for those who took him, but depending on how he fares today, he might be even a better choice for R-4.

12 Nishikori and 3 Raonic: these two are the Light version of the Tsonga-Murray dilemma. So using them up is safe BUT you're compromising picks you'll need in the later rounds unless you're counting on making a tough Tsonga-Murray choice or banking on a Djokovic upset.

1 Robredo: one of the riskier choices for today, specially given his 5 set round 2. I think he makes it, but other choices were available. Should Stan win convincingly, it was a timely pick; should Robredo survive and Stan lose, that'll be a great R-4 pick squandered.

2 didn't even show up for work

shtexas
08-30-2014, 09:01 PM
Day 6:

2 Isner
31 Tsonga
12 Murray
3 Wawrinka
12 Nishikori
3 Raonic
1 Robredo

64 - 2 = 62 (with Robredo still on court)

Drop-shot
08-31-2014, 08:09 AM
And with only 62 left we march on to day 7!

Bautista Agut: this was the smartest choice out there for those with the guts to pull the trigger. After getting burned by Keys, I just couldn't go with another B-lister.

Berdych: should be an easy win. Then he plays Lopez (who's beaten him twice this summer) or Thiem. I'm speculating on a Thiem upset and saved Berdych for later. But that could easily backfire.

Dimitrov: maybe a bit harder than Tomas', but he should win as well. His next round is tricky if we go by trackrecord: 0-4 deficit against Gasquet and a tie with Monfils. This is a good time to pick him as well.

Lopez: on paper he should win but the talented Thiem is having a good run here and Lopez is prone to head-scratching losses. Didn't want to risk it here.

Ferrer: of course he'll win. But then he'll also beat Cilic and probably do the same with Berdyh/Lopez/Thiem. You're going to need him later.

Cilic: he's looked good, but so has Anderson. I think he wins, but of all the matches, this was the one I wanted to avoid picking from 2 rounds ago. Unnecessary risk.

SwissBliss
08-31-2014, 10:53 AM
Unofficial day 7 breakdown:
27 Agut
13 Berdych
8 Dimitrov
8 Lopez
3 Ferrer
1 Cilic

shtexas
08-31-2014, 10:57 AM
Unofficial day 7 breakdown:
27 Agut
13 Berdych
8 Dimitrov
8 Lopez
3 Ferrer
1 Cilic

You got it.

61 (1 no-pick)

suliso
08-31-2014, 11:02 AM
Ferrer: of course he'll win. But then he'll also beat Cilic and probably do the same with Berdyh/Lopez/Thiem. You're going to need him later.

A masterful jinx…

:notworthy::notworthy::notworthy:

sokoll
08-31-2014, 12:38 PM
Man, that Ferrer loss screwed up the draw now. Cilic better win now....

suliso
08-31-2014, 12:46 PM
Man, that Ferrer loss screwed up the draw now. Cilic better win now....

Your wish comes true and his loss alone is not really a significant complication as long as you are still alive after today.

sokoll
08-31-2014, 12:51 PM
Your wish comes true and his loss alone is not really a significant complication as long as you are still alive after today.

it did, but now that I checked h2h with Simon it doesn't matter. If I'm not alive after today, then there is no dilemma with picks going forward :-)

ptmcmahon
08-31-2014, 05:53 PM
8 Lopez out but 27 Agut are through. 41 or 49 by end of day depending on Dimitrov.

Miles
08-31-2014, 05:55 PM
8 Lopez out but 27 Agut are through. 41 or 49 by end of day depending on Dimitrov.

I can see tomorrow being the real bloodbath day with almost every pick potentially losing.

dryrunguy
08-31-2014, 06:09 PM
I can see tomorrow being the real bloodbath day with almost every pick potentially losing.

Tomorrow's picks are dreadful. Just dreadful.

ptmcmahon
08-31-2014, 06:21 PM
Haven't looked at the picks but I would think the "safest" thing would be to pick from Murray-Tsonga right? Although good luck predicting that with any confidence. Although personally I had Kei down as a semifinalist so I may have gone with Stan tomorrow myself.

Miles
08-31-2014, 06:24 PM
Haven't looked at the picks but I would think the "safest" thing would be to pick from Murray-Tsonga right? Although good luck predicting that with any confidence. Although personally I had Kei down as a semifinalist so I may have gone with Stan tomorrow myself.

Except that Stan is 2-6 lifetime against Robredo (and 1-2 in the last two years) so good luck with that pick.

dryrunguy
08-31-2014, 06:40 PM
Except that Stan is 2-6 lifetime against Robredo (and 1-2 in the last two years) so good luck with that pick.

Stan did win their last meeting in straights in Melbourne.

Meanwhile, Nishikori is 2-1 against Raonic, though Raonic won their last meeting (Wimbledon). Neither Nishikori nor Raonic have beaten Wawrinka in their careers in two tries each IIRC (one did take a set from Stan), and Robredo has never beaten Nishikori or Raonic or taken a set from either, IIRC.

And Jo Tsonga and Andy Murray are, well, Jo Tsonga and Andy Murray.

And Nishikori gets injured by watching a new can of tennis balls being opened.

It's a red hot mess.

angryduck71
08-31-2014, 07:20 PM
Let me explain something simple here. I've won hundreds of dollars on basketball March Madness. I've entered probably just as many racket brakets/suicidepools/etc. for tennis. I've won nada. I've watched tennis since I was a baby. I know EVERYTHING about just about every player whose played the game since about 1972 or before. And I was born in 1971. You know what I know about basketball where I constantly win? NOTHING. Cr#p. NADA. I pull it out of my derriere. :) I think the more you know sometimes, the more screwed you are. I'm just going with my gut and hoping. :)

Drop-shot
08-31-2014, 07:21 PM
A masterful jinx…

:notworthy::notworthy::notworthy:

This was totally out of the blue. Total game changer.

I did however get right the Berdych-Thiem gamble, though now that Ferrer lost, I might have to risk it on Simon taking out Cilic. All of course if Dimitrov rights the ship.


I can see tomorrow being the real bloodbath day with almost every pick potentially losing.

100%

"Safe" thing seems to go with Stan, but who the hell knows; and it'll probably come back to bite you in a round or two.

shtexas
08-31-2014, 08:55 PM
Day 7 final:

27 Agut
14 Berdych
8 Dimitrov
8 Lopez
3 Ferrer
1 Cilic

61 - 11 = 50

FEBravo
09-01-2014, 07:29 AM
With three people missing, it seems we have:

17 Raonic
17 Wawrinka
10 Murray
3 Nishikori

Which means we could be down to 3 if Tsonga, Robredo and Nishikori all win, which is actually quite possible. wow.

shtexas
09-01-2014, 07:42 AM
With three people missing, it seems we have:

17 Raonic
17 Wawrinka
10 Murray
3 Nishikori

Which means we could be down to 3 if Tsonga, Robredo and Nishikori all win, which is actually quite possible. wow.

4 are missing at the moment. One who picked was already out.

shtexas
09-01-2014, 08:05 AM
Day 8 breakdown:

16 Raonic
vs
3 Nishikori

17 Wawinka

10 Murray
vs
1 Tsonga

1 Djokovic

48 (2 no-picks)

FEBravo
09-01-2014, 08:06 AM
4 are missing at the moment. One who picked was already out.

Hence why I should stick to my day job :cheesy:

ptmcmahon
09-01-2014, 08:44 AM
Can't believe it's a 10-1 split for Murray over Tsonga.

16-3 is too high a split for Raonic over Nishikori too ... unless he injures himself on the way to court which is not out of the question.

Interesting to see who Jmcguire will pick next (the Djokovic picker!)

Drop-shot
09-01-2014, 09:06 AM
Down to 50 with the potential of a lot of bloodshed!

16 Raonic vs 3 Nishikori: first off, this is one of the ways to beat the draw unless you think Wawrinka loses to one of these guys (not out of the question). Now for the specifics: last match was won by Milos but that was on grass. Kei leads 2-1 with clay and hardcourt wins. Milos has had a great summer, yet Kei has been winning all his matches with ease breaking at will (granted that none of his opponents had Raonic's serve). The beef of the issue winds down to if Kei can break Milos -whose return game is much weaker. I'm surprised by the lopsidedness of the split. I went with Nishikori hoping for the best.

17 Wawinka: the "safe" pick (even though his H2H with Robredo is negative). One wonders what card these will play next round.

10 Murray vs 1 Tsonga: another surprising split. Given both player's form, I thought more would incline towards Tsonga (I would've). Still, this match was foreseeable since the beginning and worth avoiding.

1 Djokovic: somebody's a Fed fan!

2 didn't make it, which is surprising given the moment of the game we're at.

Charlie02123
09-01-2014, 09:44 AM
17 Wawinka: the "safe" pick (even though his H2H with Robredo is negative). One wonders what card these will play next round.
I've been picking Raonic to make the semis since the draw came out. An interview he gave about being pissed/motivated from losing the Wimbledon semis convinced me he's determined to do well.

I've also been underestimating Wawrinka all year and didn't actually expect him to make it this far. I'm nervous about his match and I'm fairly shocked no one gambled on Robredo.

If I make it through with Stan but Nishikori wins I'll have to sacrifice a goat or do some rain dances or something.

Anyone know if the QFs are split or combined (one or two SP picks) here?

Drop-shot
09-01-2014, 09:56 AM
I've been picking Raonic to make the semis since the draw came out. An interview he gave about being pissed/motivated from losing the Wimbledon semis convinced me he's determined to do well.

I've also been underestimating Wawrinka all year and didn't actually expect him to make it this far. I'm nervous about his match and I'm fairly shocked no one gambled on Robredo.

If I make it through with Stan but Nishikori wins I'll have to sacrifice a goat or do some rain dances or something.

Anyone know if the QFs are split or combined (one or two SP picks) here?

They're split. Hence today's importance and the Ferrer debacle.

angryduck71
09-01-2014, 09:56 AM
Every time I see there's a few who forgot to pick (I have done that before when I thought I had), I panic and think it's me. :) Whew.

Charlie02123
09-01-2014, 10:12 AM
They're split. Hence today's importance and the Ferrer debacle.
Ah. Well I predicted Raonic and Cilic to be the losing semifinalists and I've saved them, so I have a path if everything falls exactly right (which ALWAYS happens, as we all know from years of totally not tearing our hair out playing this contest).

sokoll
09-01-2014, 12:11 PM
10 Murray vs 1 Tsonga: another surprising split. Given both player's form, I thought more would incline towards Tsonga (I would've). Still, this match was foreseeable since the beginning and worth avoiding.



I didn't have the guts to to touch this match, but I would probably went with Murray too

Drop-shot
09-01-2014, 01:44 PM
Ah. Well I predicted Raonic and Cilic to be the losing semifinalists and I've saved them, so I have a path if everything falls exactly right (which ALWAYS happens, as we all know from years of totally not tearing our hair out playing this contest).

I already feel fulfilled by saving Berdych speculating on a Thiem/Lopez upset. Too bad that I probably won't reap the benefits.

jazzyg
09-01-2014, 01:54 PM
I've also been underestimating Wawrinka all year and didn't actually expect him to make it this far. I'm nervous about his match and I'm fairly shocked no one gambled on Robredo.

Where people underestimate him the most is his serve. I would have beaten the draw at Wimbledon if I had picked him to beat Lopez instead of the other way around. I thought Lopez would have an easier time holding his serve and realized pretty quickly that Lopez NEVER was going to break Wawrinka's serve.

dryrunguy
09-01-2014, 02:07 PM
Murray was THE pick for today (unless he beats Novak). Poopie doodles. :(

sokoll
09-01-2014, 02:15 PM
I didn't have the guts to to touch this match, but I would probably went with Murray too

Ughhh, I should have picked Murray.

Drop-shot
09-01-2014, 05:31 PM
Murray was THE pick for today (unless he beats Novak). Poopie doodles. :(

Hindsight's 20/20. His previous form didn't foretell the barrage that he'd unleash today.

dryrunguy
09-01-2014, 05:51 PM
Hindsight's 20/20. His previous form didn't foretell the barrage that he'd unleash today.

And had he lost, someone would have swung by and screamed, "I told you so!"

So thus far today, everything has gone the way I needed it to. Murray knocked out Jo and Stan won. Which no doubt means Raonic, my actual selection for the day, is cooked.

sokoll
09-01-2014, 06:48 PM
And had he lost, someone would have swung by and screamed, "I told you so!"

So thus far today, everything has gone the way I needed it to. Murray knocked out Jo and Stan won. Which no doubt means Raonic, my actual selection for the day, is cooked.

I hope not

Drop-shot
09-01-2014, 07:19 PM
I hope not

In my attempt to beat the draw I took Nishikori. Should've gone with Stan. #badfeeling

funkstar
09-02-2014, 03:15 AM
Well, it was Milos or Murray/Tsonga in order to beat the draw. Nishikori had that foot injury and Milos just beat him at Wimbledon; Tsonga took out Murray in Toronto but tanked in Cincy. It didn't seem like that bad a gamble to go with Milos - if Murray or Tsonga should be left to upset Djokovic, they'd still be left as a semis pick.

Oh well, at least I made the updated thread.

joanjettson
09-02-2014, 06:50 AM
Wow drop-shot, nice gamble!

ptmcmahon
09-02-2014, 06:55 AM
Well I was right with Nishikori-Raonic split being out of whack at least. I'm not sure if I was still alive if I would've been picking Stan or Tsonga yesterday (I would've saved Nishikori for next round.) For my sanity I'm going to say I would've taken Tsonga!

shtexas
09-02-2014, 08:16 AM
I haven't updated the thread yet, but here is the breakdown for day 9:

6 Berdych

16 Dimitrov
vs
1 Monfils

7 Cilic
vs
1 Simon

31

Drop-shot
09-02-2014, 09:56 AM
*gasps for air* Sorry... that Nishikori pick took the air out of me. For the 31 left, here is my analysis:

6 Berdych: I feel confident about this pick, which means we´re in for some unsavory times. Jinxes apart, he should win. Thing is he seems good for a semfinal run but... (see Simon), hence my recommendation for him today.

16 Dimitrov vs 1 Monfils: I think Dimitrov wins, but this could be close. Their H2H is tied at 1 and Monfils has looked as concentrated as ever. 30-40% of an "upset".

7 Cilic vs 1 Simon: without looking too much into it, Cilic seems favored, but -this is a big BUT- he's 0/4 against Simon, and after dispatching Ferrer rather easily his stock went up. I say Simon takes it -not unlike Nishikori yesterday. Here's the twist, if this plays out, Simon also leads his H2H with Berdych, and so unseemly as it seems, he's got a real chance of making the semis. I saved him just in case.

suliso
09-02-2014, 12:26 PM
Not looking good for our 16 Dimitrovs.

munchin
09-02-2014, 01:01 PM
When Grigor broke back, I pretty much just assumed he was on his way to winning in 4, given Gael's propensity for mental walkabouts. Impressive stuff from Le Monf. Not so much from Grigor.

Miles
09-02-2014, 01:03 PM
Mr Sharapova was up 6-4 in the TB and then made four errors to hand the set to Monfils.

sokoll
09-02-2014, 01:03 PM
Not looking good for our 16 Dimitrovs.

Now I'm not so upset about Raonic losing, Dimitrov would be my pick for today, so it wouldn't really matter...

shtexas
09-02-2014, 01:57 PM
Nice pick (Monfils), Tigress!

Moose
09-02-2014, 02:10 PM
Nice pick (Monfils), Tigress!

+1. Very well played.

shtexas
09-02-2014, 05:57 PM
Day 9 Final:

6 Berdych

16 Dimitrov
vs
1 Monfils

7 Cilic
vs
1 Simon

31 - 17 = 14

Tigress
09-02-2014, 08:10 PM
Thanks for the kudos, shtexas and Moose. Nice to have a moment here, however fleeting. Actually I was a bit hemmed in by previous picks and circumstances, but did think that Monfils had a good chance based on his recent improved performances (especially Cincy). Both Gael and Dimitrov showed great class and resilience in the conditions today. Hope they will both be real forces and winners in the near future, but not Monfils on Thursday--Roger must win #18 this week!

shtexas
09-03-2014, 08:19 AM
Day 10 breakdown:

4 Djokovic

6 Wawrinka
vs
4 Nishikori

14

Drop-shot
09-03-2014, 09:57 AM
4 Djokovic: the survival pick. Yes, this ensures you live, but with contestants bound to survive the Wawrinka-Nishikori match, you're going to be outpicked.

6 Wawrinka vs 4 Nishikori: Stan holds the edge in the H2H and comes in a little more rested. Still nothing is a given here. If Stan can play like we know he can, he should win.

joanjettson
09-03-2014, 02:10 PM
I feel a great big "Arrrgh!" coming on... #soclose #sofar

Woody
09-03-2014, 02:36 PM
4 Djokovic: the survival pick. Yes, this ensures you live, but with contestants bound to survive the Wawrinka-Nishikori match, you're going to be outpicked.

But 2 of them have Nishikori available. Are they actually planning Djokovic-Federer-Nishikori? I'm confused. But hey, they outlasted me, so what do I know!

Drop-shot
09-03-2014, 02:48 PM
But 2 of them have Nishikori available. Are they actually planning Djokovic-Federer-Nishikori? I'm confused. But hey, they outlasted me, so what do I know!

Maybe, but of course that would imply that Nole loses to Kei. I don't think he'll pull that off.

shtexas
09-03-2014, 04:31 PM
Six go down with Stan

Sent from my SPH-M930 using Tapatalk 2

shtexas
09-03-2014, 10:19 PM
Day 10 final:

4 Djokovic

6 Wawrinka
vs
4 Nishikori

14 - 6 = 8

shtexas
09-04-2014, 08:16 AM
Day 11 breakdown:

4 Cilic
vs
3 Berdych

1 no-pick :(

7

munchin
09-04-2014, 08:23 AM
Day 11 breakdown:

4 Cilic
vs
3 Berdych

1 no-pick :(

7

My legitimate best guess is that kmf was waiting for Djokovic-Murray to finish and the first two sets sent him/her into a deep, deep slumber.

Drop-shot
09-04-2014, 10:04 AM
So few left... and I am no longer one of them :cry:

4 Cilic vs 3 Berdych: Berdych leads their H2H and I feel has more depth to his game. I think he takes it but this is going to be close.

munchin
09-04-2014, 02:18 PM
I'm so close I can taste it. Everyone else seems to have used Djokovic. So I assume they're gonna take Federer and not roll the dice with Monfils. If I join them, I'll be the only one left with a potential finals pick (Djokovic). If we all pick Federer and he loses, we all win. If we all pick Federer and he wins, but Cilic beats Djokovic, we'd all have no picks left and we'd all win. Is that right? Any other contingencies?

Drunken ramblings. Disregard. :cheesy:

munchin
09-04-2014, 07:58 PM
Wait, everything I said was wrong. I thought Federer-Monfils was a SF in a couple days. Wasn't paying attention at all. I got plenty of ways to lose this, I think. Let's just say I started drinking a little early on my birthday.

shtexas
09-04-2014, 08:30 PM
Wait, everything I said was wrong. I thought Federer-Monfils was a SF in a couple days. Wasn't paying attention at all. I got plenty of ways to lose this, I think. Let's just say I started drinking a little early on my birthday.

If things go a normal route, you are the only one who would have a pick left for the final. But, normal isn't always the norm these days.

angryduck71
09-05-2014, 08:46 AM
DANG IT... I was REALLY hoping Munchin was truly that clueless... :)

angryduck71
09-05-2014, 08:48 AM
...and, oh, yeah, I'm hoping Michael Chang can teach some UNDERHANDED underdog winning tactics! :)

munchin
09-05-2014, 11:49 AM
DANG IT... I was REALLY hoping Munchin was truly that clueless... :)

No, I genuinely am. Booze doesn't help. :p

angryduck71
09-05-2014, 04:51 PM
Just wait until you see MY insane pick for tomorrow. :)

shtexas
09-05-2014, 05:30 PM
Just wait until you see MY insane pick for tomorrow. :)

I love it. Makes things more interesting.

Sent from my SPH-M930 using Tapatalk 2

munchin
09-05-2014, 07:16 PM
Just wait until you see MY insane pick for tomorrow. :)

I guess it really makes at least as much sense as the other pick. Looks less insane the more I think about it.

shtexas
09-06-2014, 09:06 AM
Day 13 breakdown:

2 Nishikori
2 Federer

If Nishikori and Federer win, we will have two winners with a chance to beat the draw and a tiebreak Monday for the prize.
If Djokovic and Cilic win, we will have four winners and a tiebreak Monday for the prize.
If Nishikori and Cilic win, we will have two winners and a tiebreak Monday for the prize.
If Djokovic and Federer win, we will have one winner outright who has a chance to beat the draw on Monday.

munchin
09-06-2014, 09:13 AM
Nevermind, lol

munchin
09-06-2014, 09:20 AM
Day 13 breakdown:

2 Nishikori
2 Federer

If Nishikori and Federer win, we will have two winners with a chance to beat the draw and a tiebreak Monday for the prize.
If Djokovic and Cilic win, we will have four winners and a tiebreak Monday for the prize.
If Nishikori and Cilic win, we will have two winners and a tiebreak Monday for the prize.
If Djokovic and Federer win, we will have one winner outright who has a chance to beat the draw on Monday.

I think if Nishikori and Federer win, angryduck and wfwalsh still have Fed left to pick for the final.

shtexas
09-06-2014, 09:20 AM
Had munchin picked Djokovic today, and Djokovic advanced, he would have won outright regardless of the result of the second semi. But, I am guessing he decided he wanted to try and beat the draw.

shtexas
09-06-2014, 09:21 AM
I think if Nishikori and Federer win, angryduck and mfwalsh still have Fed left to pick for the final.

Yes. And there will also have to be a tiebreak for the prize.

munchin
09-06-2014, 09:23 AM
Had munchin picked Djokovic today, and Djokovic advanced, he would have won outright regardless of the result of the second semi. But, I am guessing he decided he wanted to try and beat the draw.

:rockon:

I'm all about that hubris!

munchin
09-06-2014, 09:24 AM
Yes. And there will also have to be a tiebreak for the prize.

Oh okay, it said four winners and I was confused. I often am.

shtexas
09-06-2014, 09:25 AM
Oh okay, it said four winners and I was confused. I often am.

I've made the correction.

munchin
09-06-2014, 11:47 AM
Didn't we have a thread like "contest schizophrenia" or something? I want Kei to win this so bad....but it screws me pretty thoroughly.

suliso
09-06-2014, 11:49 AM
Didn't we have a thread like "contest schizophrenia" or something? I want Kei to win this so bad....but it screws me pretty thoroughly.

Why? Didn't you pick Federer?

shtexas
09-06-2014, 11:59 AM
Looking good for angryduck and wfwalsh.

shtexas
09-06-2014, 12:03 PM
Why? Didn't you pick Federer?

If Kei wins, angryduck and wfwalsh win the pool regardless who wins the other semi.

shtexas
09-06-2014, 12:08 PM
Congrats to angryduck and wfwalsh, who have won the pool no matter who wins the other semi. But, they both will have a chance to beat the draw if Federer wins.

And there will be a tiebreak regardless for the prize.

angryduck71
09-06-2014, 12:32 PM
4 Djokovic: the survival pick. Yes, this ensures you live, but with contestants bound to survive the Wawrinka-Nishikori match, you're going to be outpicked ;)

angryduck71
09-06-2014, 12:33 PM
But 2 of them have Nishikori available. Are they actually planning Djokovic-Federer-Nishikori? I'm confused. But hey, they outlasted me, so what do I know!
:cheesy:

angryduck71
09-06-2014, 12:35 PM
I was chuckling at all of these... knew I was taking a chance... but all along thought Djokovic looked bad post-Wimbledon (except for in wedding pics -- HOT). Proof: you can see my angryduck71 picks on tennis channel racket bracket... of course, I put Tsonga longer there... oops.... and you can see here that I was actually trying to save HIM here... so I just replaced Nishikori for Tsonga. Crazy gamble, but I was determined to go with my gut and not listen to anyone else.

Woody
09-06-2014, 12:36 PM
But 2 of them have Nishikori available. Are they actually planning Djokovic-Federer-Nishikori? I'm confused. But hey, they outlasted me, so what do I know!

That has to be one of the best (non-forced) picks I've seen in an SP. I can't say I hope you beat the draw (go Roger!!!) but well done on this one.

angryduck71
09-06-2014, 12:37 PM
And congrats wfwalsh! :) I'm sure he/she was doing the same as me!

angryduck71
09-06-2014, 12:43 PM
I was going to pick Fed in the final! I still want him to win it all! Go old folks! :)

omess
09-06-2014, 12:48 PM
I was chuckling at all of these... knew I was taking a chance... but all along thought Djokovic looked bad post-Wimbledon (except for in wedding pics -- HOT). Proof: you can see my angryduck71 picks on tennis channel racket bracket... of course, I put Tsonga longer there... oops.... and you can see here that I was actually trying to save HIM here... so I just replaced Nishikori for Tsonga. Crazy gamble, but I was determined to go with my gut and not listen to anyone else.

congrats

angryduck71
09-06-2014, 12:59 PM
congrats Thanks! It was mostly fun because my son went nuts yelling "mommy, you're a GENIUS!" Ha! LUCKY is what I am. And determined this time to go with my gut.

shtexas
09-06-2014, 03:19 PM
There will be no day 15 thread for the men, but there will be a men's tiebreak thread to see which of our medal winners, angryduck or wfwalsh, wins the prize. Stay tuned!

joanjettson
09-06-2014, 03:28 PM
Congrats to you both, this has been a very fun Open and I'm amazed at your picks. Our first Post-Big 4 Men's Final. They've been a part of every final since Safin beat Hewitt at the AO in 2005!

shtexas
09-06-2014, 03:31 PM
Congrats to you both, this has been a very fun Open and I'm amazed at your picks. Our first Post-Big 4 Men's Final. They've been a part of every final since Safin beat Hewitt at the AO in 2005!

Thank you. You answered my question from the other thread.

New era? Maybe. Novak and Rafa may have something to say about that.

munchin
09-06-2014, 03:43 PM
Very impressive, guys! Gutsy picks at the end. Congrats!

The last time I rooted for Novak and Roger to win on the same day was...actually never. Let us never speak of this dark day again.

wfwalsh
09-07-2014, 09:31 AM
Nice going!