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dryrunguy
05-28-2010, 07:46 PM
Please post your predictions in this thread. Picks are due immediately after the final country has performed its song this afternoon/evening (about 4:30 EST).

See the instructions below.

::

So here is what an entry will look like:

Part 1
Place Finishes:

1st: (Worth 120 points)
2nd: (Worth 100 points)
3rd: (Worth 80 points)
4th: (Worth 70 points)
5th: (Worth 60 points)
6th: (Worth 50 points)
7th: (Worth 40 points)
8th: (Worth 30 points)
9th: (Worth 20 points)
10th: (Worth 10 points)
...
21st: (Worth 10 points)
22nd: (Worth 20 points)
23rd: (Worth 30 points)
24th: (Worth 60 points)
25th: (Worth 100 points)

You also get points for countries that you correctly put in the top ten or bottom five, but whose exact placing you miss. These points will be determined by the following formula:

Points if you would have gotten it right
-------------------------------------- = Points you get (with rounding)
Places Missed by + 1

So for example, if you predicted Israel to come in third but they actually win, you would receive

120
---- = 40 points
2+1

It's a lot less complicated than it looks...


Part 2:
The Biggest Points from _____ Go To...

For this section, you pick a country who you think the given country will give big points to. Scoring for this part is pretty simple. You get however many points are actually given. For example, if you predict Norway for Portugal, and Portugal gives Norway five points, you get five points. There is a bonus for correctly guessing the top point getter. If you predict the country to whom the maximum twelve points is given, you get twenty-four points for your prognosticating prowess.

These are the 25 countries whose point giving you'll be looking to predict.

Qualifiers:

Azerbaijan
Cyprus
Ireland
Georgia
Turkey
Ukraine
Romania
Armenia
Israel
Denmark
Bosnia & Herzegovina
Moldova
Russia
Greece
Portugal
Belarus
Serbia
Belgium
Albania
Iceland

Automatic Entry:
Spain
Norway
United Kingdom
France
Germany


Any questions?

dryrunguy
05-28-2010, 07:57 PM
EDITED

1. Denmark
2. Norway
3. Armenia
4. Turkey
5. Azerbijan
6. Iceland
7. Moldova
8. Albania
9. Germany
10. Ukraine

21. Ireland
22. Russia
23. Serbia
24. France
25. United Kingdom

:cheesy:



Azerbaijan: Albania
Cyprus: Denmark
Ireland: Iceland
Georgia: Ukraine
Turkey: Denmark
Ukraine: Russia
Romania: Belarus
Armenia: Georgia
Israel: Moldova
Denmark: Iceland
Bosnia & Herzegovina: Denmark
Moldova: Albania
Russia: Denmark
Greece: Norway
Portugal: Denmark
Belarus: Denmark
Serbia: Denmark
Belgium: Denmark
Albania: Armenia
Iceland: Denmark

Spain: Denmark
Norway: Iceland
United Kingdom: Denmark
France: Norway
Germany: Denmark

oohsalmon
05-28-2010, 09:16 PM
Thanks Dry!

steven
05-28-2010, 09:50 PM
Nice contest, looks like the scoring system is quite well thought out.

1. Germany
2. Azerbaijan
3. Denmark
4. Georgia
5. Turkey
6. Armenia
7. Belgium
8. Croatia
9. Greece
10. Ireland

21. Cyprus
22. Albania
23. Belarus
24. Moldova
25. United Kingdom

Qualifiers:

Azerbaijan - Turkey
Cyprus - Greece
Ireland - Georgia
Georgia - Russia
Turkey - Azerbaijan
Ukraine - Azerbaijan
Romania - Moldova
Armenia - Russia
Israel - Azerbaijan
Denmark - Germany
Bosnia & Herzegovina - Croatia
Moldova - Romania
Russia - Azerbaijan
Greece - Cyprus
Portugal - Germany
Belarus - Azerbaijan
Serbia - Azerbaijan
Belgium - Germany
Albania - Greece
Iceland - Norway

Automatic Entry:

Spain - Germany
Norway - Denmark
United Kingdom - Azerbaijan
France - Israel
Germany - Denmark

Looking at this section, I'm thinking I should have put Azerbaijan to win because they tend to get so many votes from South Eastern Europe even when their song's rubbish (and it's not rubbish this time), but I so hope they don't!

oploskoffie
05-29-2010, 07:29 AM
PI

1. Azerbaijan
2. Norway
3. Germany
4. Denmark
5. Belgium
6. Israel
7. Ukraine
8. Armenia
9. Greece
10. Romania

21. Albania
22. Moldova
23. Belarus
24. United Kingdom
25. Boznia & Herzegovina

PII

Azerbaijan - Turkey
Cyprus - Greece
Ireland - Denmark
Georgia - Russia
Turkey - Azerbaijan
Ukraine - Azerbaijan
Romania - Moldova
Armenia - Russia
Israel - Azerbaijan
Denmark - Norway
Bosnia & Herzegovina - Croatia
Moldova - Romania
Russia - Azerbaijan
Greece - Cyprus
Portugal - Azerbaijan
Belarus - Russia
Serbia - Turkey
Belgium - Germany
Albania - Greece
Iceland - Norway

Automatic Entry:

Spain - Greece
Norway - Denmark
United Kingdom - Denmark
France - Belgium
Germany - Turkey

The "most points" don't match my predictions for the top-10, but whatevs... :rolleyes::o

Togtdyalttai
05-29-2010, 09:33 AM
Part I:
1. Azerbaijan
2. Germany
3. Turkey
4. Denmark
5. Armenia
6. Norway
7. Greece
8. Romania
9. Israel
10. Serbia
:
:
:
21. Ukraine
22. Bosnia and Herzegovina
23. Russia
24. Belarus
25. United Kingdom

Part II:
Azerbaijan: Armenia
Cyprus: Turkey
Ireland: Germany
Georgia: Azerbaijan
Turkey: Azerbaijan
Ukraine: Germany
Romania: Turkey
Armenia: Azerbaijan
Israel: Azerbaijan
Denmark: Germany
Bosnia & Herzegovina: Serbia
Moldova: Romania
Russia: Germany
Greece: Turkey
Portugal: Azerbaijan
Belarus: Germany
Serbia: Greece
Belgium: Germany
Albania: Greece
Iceland: Norway
Spain: Germany
Norway: Iceland
United Kingdom: Germany
France: Germany
Germany: Turkey

oohsalmon
05-29-2010, 09:48 AM
Part 1
Place Finishes:

1st: Turkey
2nd: Norway
3rd: Azerbaijan
4th: Germany
5th: Israel
6th: Armenia
7th: Albania
8th: Romania
9th: Ireland
10th: Belgium
...
21st: Spain
22nd: Bosnia & Herzegovina
23rd: Belarus
24th: Cyprus
25th: United Kingdom

Qualifiers:

Azerbaijan - Turkey
Cyprus - Greece
Ireland - Germany
Georgia - Armenia
Turkey - Azerbaijan
Ukraine - Georgia
Romania - Moldova
Armenia - Georgia
Israel - Ukraine
Denmark - Norway
Bosnia & Herzegovina - Serbia
Moldova - Romania
Russia - Armenia
Greece - Cyprus
Portugal - Romania
Belarus - Russia
Serbia - Bosnia & Herzegovina
Belgium - Turkey
Albania - Greece
Iceland - Norway

Automatic Entry:
Spain - Germany
Norway - Germany
United Kingdom - Turkey
France - Turkey
Germany - Turkey

dryrunguy
05-29-2010, 09:54 AM
We're extending the deadline until immediately after the final country has performed this afternoon/evening (about 4:30 p.m. EST). This way you'll be able to watch all of the performances, including the five countries that haven't performed yet.

oohsalmon
05-29-2010, 11:45 AM
Bump!

natkl
05-29-2010, 01:11 PM
1. Azerbaijan
2. Iceland
3. Germany
4. Greece
5. Turkey
6. Romania
7. Moldova
8. Belgium
9. Russia
10. Serbia

21. Cyprus
22. Norway
23. France
24. Spain
25. UK

Azerbaijan: Turkey
Cyprus: Greece
Ireland: UK
Georgia: Azerbaijan
Turkey: Azerbaijan
Ukraine: Russia
Romania: Moldova
Armenia: Azerbaijan
Israel: Russia
Denmark: Iceland
Bosnia & Herzegovina: Serbia
Moldova: Romania
Russia: Azerbaijan
Greece: Cyprus
Portugal: Romania
Belarus: Russia
Serbia: Bosnia & Herzegovina
Belgium: Germany
Albania: Azerbaijan
Iceland: Denmark

Spain: Romania
Norway: Iceland
United Kingdom: Ireland
France: Turkey
Germany: Turkey

dryrunguy
05-29-2010, 01:30 PM
I can't watch the final on my iPhone. So pissed!

dryrunguy
05-29-2010, 01:33 PM
Will someone post updates as the results come in? I really wanted to see the final production of Germany's song. :(

natkl
05-29-2010, 01:52 PM
Guess I could, if I understood you correctly :unsure: How often should I do it? Don't wanna spam the thread...

Lena had fairly simple performance, I think she was alone on stage, no special choreography, no gimmicks (or circus, as she would say). Not the best singer live, but she did OK

oohsalmon
05-29-2010, 01:59 PM
I thought Lena was pretty good. Very simple, but lots of charisma.

This contest will now close at 5:15 PM EST

dryrunguy
05-29-2010, 02:04 PM
Guess I could, if I understood you correctly :unsure: How often should I do it? Don't wanna spam the thread...

Lena had fairly simple performance, I think she was alone on stage, no special choreography, no gimmicks (or circus, as she would say). Not the best singer live, but she did OK

oh, periodic updates wouldbe fine. No need for overkill. It will probably be clear early on how things are going to unfold. Thanks so much!

oohsalmon
05-29-2010, 02:06 PM
oh, periodic updates wouldbe fine. No need for overkill. It will probably be clear early on how things are going to unfold. Thanks so much!

Wouldn't be so sure about that this year. There's like 6 countries that could all legitimately win.

dryrunguy
05-29-2010, 02:10 PM
Wouldn't be so sure about that this year. There's like 6 countries that could all legitimately win.

actually, yes. I hope it's a nailbiter! But I bet there's all kind of politics at work behind the scenes!

oohsalmon
05-29-2010, 02:12 PM
actually, yes. I hope it's a nailbiter! But I bet there's all kind of politics at work behind the scenes!

Already bribery accusations against Azerbaijan :D.

natkl
05-29-2010, 02:35 PM
BTW, Kim is watching and sort of dissing Milan (much as Kim is capable of dissing anyone;))


Clijsterskim What is your opinion on Serbia? Ha ha this guy is extremely funny!

And voting finally starting...

10 countries voted so far (Romania, Ireland, Germany, Serbia, Albania, Turkey, Croatia, Poland, Bosnia, Finland)

Germany 72
Greece 55
Turkey 54
Belgium 47
Denmark 42

dryrunguy
05-29-2010, 02:39 PM
I don't understand the votes foe Greece at all!

dryrunguy
05-29-2010, 02:40 PM
Already bribery accusations against Azerbaijan :D.

rofl!

natkl
05-29-2010, 02:47 PM
Ten more countries voted. New standings:

Germany 134
Turkey 96
Belgium 93
Denmark 84
Romania 82

19 more countries to vote

dryrunguy
05-29-2010, 02:59 PM
I'm pleasantly surprised by the showing from Turkey! Hard for Germany to lose now.

natkl
05-29-2010, 03:01 PM
Lena running away with it

Germany 208
Belgium 135
Turkey 128
Denmark 120
Romania 118

9 countries to go

dryrunguy
05-29-2010, 03:04 PM
Who is sitting in the bottom five?

mmmm8
05-29-2010, 03:05 PM
I'll have to watch this for laughs later. Didn't get around to it today

natkl
05-29-2010, 03:08 PM
Bottom ATM

Ireland 27
Cyprus 25
Norway 24
UK 10
Belarus 6

dryrunguy
05-29-2010, 03:14 PM
thanks bat! LOL at Belarus! That's what happens when you can't sing!

natkl
05-29-2010, 03:17 PM
Final

Germany
Turkey
Romania
blah, I missed the rest, not even sure about 2 and 3...

Bottom

Cyprus
Moldova
Ireland
Belarus
UK :hyst:

mmmm8
05-29-2010, 03:19 PM
Awww, poor UK. They suck so bad every year (Except last year)

dryrunguy
05-29-2010, 03:29 PM
Thanks for the updates nat!

steven
06-05-2010, 12:52 AM
Will there ever be any results for this?

dryrunguy
06-05-2010, 08:24 AM
Will there ever be any results for this?

Checking on it, steven. Hopefully by the end of the weekend. :)

steven
06-05-2010, 06:25 PM
Cool, thanks. Just thought about it when I saw Lena on German TV today. LOL It looked like an interesting scoring system youd set up but not that easy to implement so I wasn't that surprised you hadn't got around to it yet!

oohsalmon
06-07-2010, 08:24 PM
Scores from Part I:

Togtdyalttai - 400.33
steven - 398.33
oploskoffie - 309.5
oohsalmon - 275.833
natkl - 229.66
dryrunguy - 242.166

Togtdyalttai
06-07-2010, 08:25 PM
Scores from Part I:

Togtdyalttai - 400.33
steven - 373.33
oploskoffie - 309.5
oohsalmon - 275.833
natkl - 229.66
dryrunguy - 242.166

:shocked:

oohsalmon
06-07-2010, 08:26 PM
:shocked:

Corrected to make it even closer ;)

natkl
06-10-2010, 11:10 AM
Ahem, so I UK-ed this thing, eh? :bowing:
Oh well, pfft to Safura hype machine and downfall of good ol' block voting...

oohsalmon
06-21-2010, 01:50 AM
Apologies for the lateness. This contest is an absolute chore to score.

That being said, I'm much more fond of the format now than I was when I was working on it ;)

Player|Azerbaijan|Cyprus|Ireland|Georgia|Turkey|Uk raine|Romania|Armenia|Israel|Denmark|Bosnia|Moldov a|Russia|Greece|Portugal|Belarus|Serbia|Belgium|Al bania|Iceland|Spain|Norway|UK|France|Germany|Part 2 Total|Part 1 Score|Total(Part 2+Part 1)
natkl|24|24|4|8|24|10|10|0|10|3|24|24|8|24|10|24|2 4|10|0|24|10|6|7|24|10|346|229.6667|575.6667
oohsalmon|24|24|8|10|24|7|10|24|2|5|24|24|24|24|10 |24|24|6|24|0|24|24|10|24|10|414|275.8333|689.8333
Togtdyalttai|0|0|8|8|24|5|8|0|7|24|24|24|6|0|0|0|1 0|10|24|0|24|6|4|3|10|229|400.3333|629.3333
oploskoffie|24|24|24|0|24|24|10|10|7|5|0|24|8|24|0 |24|3|10|24|0|5|8|6|7|10|305|309.5|614.5
steven|24|24|5|0|24|24|10|10|7|24|0|24|8|24|1|6|0| 10|24|0|24|8|0|1|0|282|398.3333|680.3333
dryrunguy|0|0|0|7|0|10|2|24|0|3|0|0|1|0|4|0|0|2|0| 24|4|6|6|0|0|93|242.1667|335.1667

No one is more shocked than I am. :cheesy:

Thanks so much to everyone who played, and I'll see all of you (and more!) back again next May!

dryrunguy
06-21-2010, 05:56 AM
Thanks for closing this up, salmon. Congratulations!

You ALMOST got it done, Steven. A noble effort nonetheless!

oploskoffie
06-21-2010, 06:12 AM
Ooh, Ooh, Ooh. Congrats to Salmon! And well done Steven! :)